NIFL Premiership. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    NIFL Premiership · next 1

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Larne FC v Linfield FC
    Likeliest: Larne FC win · 49%
    18:45
    Our probability, home win: 49 percent
    Market probability, home win: 50 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: 24 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Fixtures priced
    1
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    0
    last 90 days
    Called right
    —
    of 0

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Glentoran FC4+510
    2Ballymena United4+39
    3Coleraine FC4+19
    4Carrick Rangers4+47
    5Linfield FC3+47
    6Portadown FC4+17
    Full table →
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