FNL. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

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    FNL · next 1

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Dukla Praha v SK Kladno
    Likeliest: Dukla Praha win · 37%
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 37 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent FNL results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    1
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    3
    last 90 days
    Called right
    33%
    of 3

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1MFK Karviná2+46
    2FC Sellier & Bellot Vlašim2+36
    3Vysočina Jihlava2+24
    4FK Viktoria Žižkov2+14
    51.FK Příbram2+13
    6Arsenal Česká Lípa203
    Full table →
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