Super League. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Super League · next 3

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Olympiacos FC v PS Kalamata
    Likeliest: Olympiacos FC win · 88%
    14:00
    Our probability, home win: 88 percent
    Market probability, home win: 84 percent
    Our probability, draw: 9 percent
    Market probability, draw: 11 percent
    Our probability, away win: 3 percent
    Market probability, away win: 5 percent
    —
    NPS Volos v Panathinaikos
    Likeliest: Panathinaikos win · 74%
    16:00spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 8 percent
    Market probability, home win: 12 percent
    Our probability, draw: 18 percent
    Market probability, draw: 19 percent
    Our probability, away win: 74 percent
    Market probability, away win: 69 percent
    —
    OFI Crete v PAOK
    Likeliest: PAOK win · 59%
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 16 percent
    Market probability, home win: 20 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 59 percent
    Market probability, away win: 55 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Super League results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    3
    Spots
    1
    Graded here
    5
    last 90 days
    Called right
    80%
    of 5

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in Super League
    Favourite won
    49%
    Drawn
    30%
    Underdog won
    21%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 156 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Panathinaikos7+1318
    2Olympiacos FC7+516
    3PAOK7+615
    4AEK Athens6+1314
    5Aris Thessaloniki7-313
    6PS Kalamata7+110
    Full table →
    Read next