Super League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Super League · next 3
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 88 percent
Market probability, home win: 84 percent
Our probability, draw: 9 percent
Market probability, draw: 11 percent
Our probability, away win: 3 percent
Market probability, away win: 5 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 8 percent
Market probability, home win: 12 percent
Our probability, draw: 18 percent
Market probability, draw: 19 percent
Our probability, away win: 74 percent
Market probability, away win: 69 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 16 percent
Market probability, home win: 20 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 59 percent
Market probability, away win: 55 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Super League results
- Oct 11Olympiacos FC v Panathinaikos1-0
- Oct 10AEK Athens v OFI Crete3-0
- Sep 10Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia3-1
- Sep 6Panathinaikos v PAOK3-1
- Aug 30AE Kifisia v AEK Athens1-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
3
Spots
1
Graded here
5
last 90 days
Called right
80%
of 5
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Super League
Favourite won
49%
Drawn
30%
Underdog won
21%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 156 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 7 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olympiacos FC | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | PAOK | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 6 | +13 | 14 |
| 5 | Aris Thessaloniki | 7 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | PS Kalamata | 7 | +1 | 10 |
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