Premier League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Premier League · next 3
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 36 percent
Market probability, home win: 38 percent
Our probability, draw: 35 percent
Market probability, draw: 32 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
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Our probability, home win: 29 percent
Market probability, home win: 32 percent
Our probability, draw: 33 percent
Market probability, draw: 30 percent
Our probability, away win: 39 percent
Market probability, away win: 38 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 44 percent
Our probability, draw: 36 percent
Market probability, draw: 33 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Premier League results
- Oct 19ENPPI v Al-Mokawloon0-3
- Oct 13Petrojet v Wadi Degla2-2
- Oct 12Pyramids FC v Ceramica Cleopatra4-1
- Oct 12Modern Sport FC v ENPPI3-2
- Oct 12Al-Mokawloon v ZED FC1-1
- Oct 11Zamalek SC v Al Ahly FC0-2
- Sep 16ENPPI v Pyramids FC1-2
- Sep 15Wadi Degla v Al-Mokawloon0-2
- Sep 14Ceramica Cleopatra v National Bank of Egypt2-0
- Sep 9ENPPI v ZED FC2-1
- Sep 9Al-Mokawloon v Al Ahly FC1-1
- Sep 9Modern Sport FC v Wadi Degla2-1
- Sep 8Smouha v Ceramica Cleopatra0-2
- Sep 3Al Ahly FC v Smouha1-0
- Sep 2Ceramica Cleopatra v Modern Sport FC2-0
- Aug 31Zamalek SC v Petrojet2-1
- Aug 28ZED FC v Al Ahly FC0-2
- Aug 28ENPPI v Wadi Degla1-3
- Aug 26National Bank of Egypt v Zamalek SC0-3
- Aug 23Al Ahly FC v ENPPI3-2
- Aug 22Al-Masry v Smouha1-0
- Aug 21Wadi Degla v ZED FC0-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
3
Spots
0
Graded here
22
last 90 days
Called right
64%
of 22
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Premier League
Favourite won
46%
Drawn
34%
Underdog won
19%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 207 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly FC | 6 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Modern Sport FC | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Al-Ittihad Alexandria | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | +4 | 12 |
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