Challenge League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Challenge League · next 5
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X
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Price
FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy v Neuchâtel Xamax
Likeliest: FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy win · 57%
17:30spot · btts
Our probability, home win: 57 percent
Market probability, home win: 54 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: 42 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 34 percent
Market probability, away win: 33 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 79 percent
Market probability, home win: 75 percent
Our probability, draw: 11 percent
Market probability, draw: 13 percent
Our probability, away win: 10 percent
Market probability, away win: 12 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 58 percent
Market probability, home win: 55 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
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Our probability, home win: 66 percent
Market probability, home win: 63 percent
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 15 percent
Market probability, away win: 17 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Challenge League results
- Oct 9Stade Nyonnais v FC Aarau2-1
- Oct 9Neuchâtel Xamax v FC Winterthur3-0
- Sep 18FC Winterthur v FC Aarau2-1
- Sep 11Stade Nyonnais v Neuchâtel Xamax1-3
- Sep 6Yverdon-Sport FC v Stade Nyonnais4-1
- Sep 1Neuchâtel Xamax v Yverdon-Sport FC1-2
- Sep 1Stade Nyonnais v FC Winterthur2-2
- Aug 28FC Aarau v Neuchâtel Xamax2-1
- Aug 23Yverdon-Sport FC v FC Aarau2-1
- Jul 24FC Winterthur v Yverdon-Sport FC2-2
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
5
Spots
2
Graded here
10
last 90 days
Called right
50%
of 10
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy | 10 | +17 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon-Sport FC | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Winterthur | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Neuchâtel Xamax | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Aarau | 10 | -3 | 12 |
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