Stars League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Stars League · next 5
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 31 percent
Market probability, home win: 34 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 43 percent
Market probability, away win: 41 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 9 percent
Market probability, home win: 13 percent
Our probability, draw: 15 percent
Market probability, draw: 17 percent
Our probability, away win: 76 percent
Market probability, away win: 70 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 33 percent
Market probability, home win: 37 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 37 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 56 percent
Market probability, home win: 55 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 9 percent
Market probability, home win: 14 percent
Our probability, draw: 16 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 74 percent
Market probability, away win: 68 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Stars League results
- Oct 18Al-Gharafa v Al-Rayyan0-0
- Oct 17Al-Sailiya v Qatar SC2-2
- Oct 16Al-Shahaniya v Al-Arabi SC0-6
- Oct 16Al-Ahli Doha v Al-Wakrah0-3
- Oct 9Al-Sadd v Al-Arabi SC2-3
- Oct 9Qatar SC v Al-Rayyan0-3
- Oct 8Al-Wakrah v Al-Gharafa3-2
- Oct 8Al Shamal SC v Al Duhail0-4
- Sep 12Al-Arabi SC v Qatar SC0-0
- Sep 3Al-Ahli Doha v Qatar SC1-0
- Aug 29Al Duhail v Al-Arabi SC1-1
- Aug 22Al-Sadd v Al-Ahli Doha3-1
- Aug 22Al Duhail v Al-Sailiya2-0
- Aug 21Al-Arabi SC v Al Shamal SC2-2
- Aug 21Al-Gharafa v Al-Shahaniya2-1
- Aug 20Al-Wakrah v Qatar SC2-2
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
5
Spots
2
Graded here
18
last 90 days
Called right
56%
of 18
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Stars League
Favourite won
49%
Drawn
23%
Underdog won
27%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 77 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Rayyan | 6 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Al-Sadd | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 3 | Al-Arabi SC | 6 | +9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Duhail | 6 | +7 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Shamal SC | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Al-Wakrah | 6 | -1 | 8 |
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