Stars League. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Stars League · next 5

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Al-Wakrah v Al-Arabi SC
    Likeliest: Al-Arabi SC win · 43%
    14:00
    Our probability, home win: 31 percent
    Market probability, home win: 34 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 43 percent
    Market probability, away win: 41 percent
    —
    Al-Shahaniya v Al-Sadd
    Likeliest: Al-Sadd win · 76%
    14:30spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 9 percent
    Market probability, home win: 13 percent
    Our probability, draw: 15 percent
    Market probability, draw: 17 percent
    Our probability, away win: 76 percent
    Market probability, away win: 70 percent
    —
    Al-Gharafa v Al-Ahli Doha
    Likeliest: Al-Ahli Doha win · 44%
    16:45
    Our probability, home win: 33 percent
    Market probability, home win: 37 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 44 percent
    Market probability, away win: 37 percent
    —
    Al Shamal SC v Qatar SC
    Likeliest: Al Shamal SC win · 56%
    14:30
    Our probability, home win: 56 percent
    Market probability, home win: 55 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    Al-Sailiya v Al-Rayyan
    Likeliest: Al-Rayyan win · 74%
    16:45spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 9 percent
    Market probability, home win: 14 percent
    Our probability, draw: 16 percent
    Market probability, draw: 18 percent
    Our probability, away win: 74 percent
    Market probability, away win: 68 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Stars League results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    5
    Spots
    2
    Graded here
    18
    last 90 days
    Called right
    56%
    of 18

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in Stars League
    Favourite won
    49%
    Drawn
    23%
    Underdog won
    27%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 77 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Al-Rayyan6+814
    2Al-Sadd6+1012
    3Al-Arabi SC6+912
    4Al Duhail6+712
    5Al Shamal SC609
    6Al-Wakrah6-18
    Full table →
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