Championship. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Championship · next 6
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 32 percent
Market probability, home win: 36 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 38 percent
Market probability, home win: 40 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 25 percent
Market probability, home win: 29 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 45 percent
Market probability, away win: 44 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 72 percent
Market probability, home win: 69 percent
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: 19 percent
Our probability, away win: 10 percent
Market probability, away win: 12 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 13 percent
Market probability, home win: 18 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 60 percent
Market probability, away win: 57 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 61 percent
Market probability, home win: 60 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 16 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Championship results
- Oct 17Greenock Morton v Queen's Park FC0-0
- Oct 17Dunfermline Athletic v Livingston0-0
- Oct 17Inverness Caledonian Thistle v Arbroath0-0
- Oct 16Ayr United v Partick Thistle0-1
- Oct 10Arbroath v Greenock Morton1-2
- Oct 10Ayr United v Dunfermline Athletic0-0
- Oct 10Livingston v Partick Thistle1-2
- Oct 3Livingston v Ayr United1-2
- Oct 3Partick Thistle v Arbroath3-0
- Sep 5Arbroath v Dunfermline Athletic1-1
- Aug 7Partick Thistle v Livingston2-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
6
Spots
5
Graded here
11
last 90 days
Called right
27%
of 11
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raith Rovers | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 9 | +2 | 14 |
| 5 | Ayr United | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | Livingston | 11 | +1 | 12 |
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