Veikkausliiga. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Veikkausliiga · next 5
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 33 percent
Market probability, home win: 34 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 31 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 16 percent
Market probability, home win: 20 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 59 percent
Market probability, away win: 55 percent
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Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 29 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 52 percent
Market probability, home win: 51 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 27 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 48 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Veikkausliiga results
- Oct 18KuPS v VPS2-0
- Oct 17Inter Turku v AC Oulu0-1
- Oct 17HJK v IF Gnistan4-0
- Oct 17FC Lahti v TPS5-1
- Oct 17FF Jaro v IFK Mariehamn1-1
- Oct 17Ilves v SJK2-0
- Oct 12AC Oulu v HJK3-4
- Oct 12VPS v IF Gnistan1-0
- Oct 11Inter Turku v KuPS1-0
- Oct 10IFK Mariehamn v Ilves1-1
- Oct 10TPS v FF Jaro0-1
- Oct 9SJK v FC Lahti1-0
- Oct 8KuPS v AC Oulu0-1
- Oct 8HJK v VPS6-0
- Oct 7IF Gnistan v Inter Turku0-0
- Sep 19VPS v KuPS0-2
- Sep 19TPS v Ilves0-3
- Sep 18AC Oulu v Inter Turku0-1
- Sep 18IF Gnistan v HJK1-1
- Sep 18FC Lahti v FF Jaro1-1
- Sep 18SJK v IFK Mariehamn2-1
- Sep 14Inter Turku v VPS1-0
- Sep 13KuPS v HJK0-0
- Sep 12Ilves v FC Lahti3-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
5
Spots
1
Graded here
65
last 90 days
Called right
52%
of 65
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Veikkausliiga
Favourite won
50%
Drawn
28%
Underdog won
22%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 149 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK | 32 | +27 | 60 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 30 | +16 | 56 |
| 3 | KuPS | 28 | +17 | 51 |
| 4 | VPS | 31 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 | Ilves | 30 | +5 | 41 |
| 6 | TPS | 30 | 0 | 39 |
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