3rd Division, Group 6. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    3rd Division, Group 6 · next 5

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Elverum v Gjøvik-Lyn
    Likeliest: Elverum win · 42%
    12:00
    Our probability, home win: 42 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 37 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Bjoerkelangen v Raelingen FK
    Likeliest: Raelingen FK win · 61%
    12:00
    Our probability, home win: 16 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 61 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Fram Larvik v Lillehammer
    Likeliest: Lillehammer win · 44%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 29 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 44 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Ørn-Horten v Råde
    Likeliest: Råde win · 39%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 34 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 39 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Brumunddal v Drøbak/Frogn
    Likeliest: Drøbak/Frogn win · 64%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 16 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 21 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 64 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent 3rd Division, Group 6 results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    5
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    17
    last 90 days
    Called right
    77%
    of 17

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Lillehammer12+2530
    2Elverum12+1828
    3Råde12+2624
    4Drøbak/Frogn12+1622
    5Sarpsborg 08 II12+1621
    6Gjøvik-Lyn12+1118
    Full table →
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