Premiership. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Premiership · next 5
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 80 percent
Market probability, home win: 76 percent
Our probability, draw: 14 percent
Market probability, draw: 15 percent
Our probability, away win: 7 percent
Market probability, away win: 9 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 52 percent
Market probability, home win: 51 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 44 percent
Market probability, home win: 44 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 29 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 19 percent
Market probability, home win: 23 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 58 percent
Market probability, away win: 54 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 27 percent
Market probability, home win: 30 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 46 percent
Market probability, away win: 44 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Premiership results
- Oct 18Celtic v Hearts7-1
- Oct 17St. Johnstone v Dundee United1-1
- Oct 17Kilmarnock v Motherwell3-2
- Oct 17Aberdeen v St. Mirren3-1
- Oct 17Hibernian v Falkirk FC1-2
- Oct 11Aberdeen v St. Johnstone0-1
- Oct 11Motherwell v Celtic0-2
- Oct 10Rangers v Kilmarnock3-1
- Oct 10Dundee United v Hibernian1-0
- Oct 10Hearts v St. Mirren5-0
- Sep 20Celtic v Rangers0-1
- Sep 19Kilmarnock v Hearts1-1
- Sep 19St. Mirren v Dundee United0-3
- Sep 19Hibernian v Aberdeen1-1
- Sep 19Dundee FC v Motherwell2-1
- Sep 19St. Johnstone v Falkirk FC1-1
- Sep 15Falkirk FC v Hearts2-1
- Sep 15Motherwell v Aberdeen0-4
- Sep 15Hibernian v Kilmarnock0-1
- Sep 9St. Johnstone v Celtic0-1
- Sep 9Rangers v St. Mirren1-0
- Sep 6Hearts v Dundee FC2-1
- Sep 6St. Johnstone v Hibernian2-1
- Sep 5St. Mirren v Celtic1-2
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
5
Spots
0
Graded here
52
last 90 days
Called right
42%
of 52
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Premiership
Favourite won
52%
Drawn
21%
Underdog won
27%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 198 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Hearts | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | St. Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 9 | -1 | 12 |
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