Serie B. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Serie B · next 7
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 39 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 39 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 33 percent
Market probability, draw: 30 percent
Our probability, away win: 28 percent
Market probability, away win: 29 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 28 percent
Market probability, away win: 29 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 35 percent
Market probability, home win: 37 percent
Our probability, draw: 33 percent
Market probability, draw: 31 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 56 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 5 percent
Market probability, home win: 9 percent
Our probability, draw: 17 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 78 percent
Market probability, away win: 73 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Serie B results
- Oct 19Goiás v Náutico0-0
- Oct 18Vila Nova FC v Novorizontino2-2
- Oct 18CRB v Botafogo-SP0-1
- Oct 18São Bernardo v Criciúma0-1
- Oct 18Avaí v Athletic Club0-0
- Oct 17América Mineiro v Operário-PR1-0
- Oct 17Ceará v Juventude2-2
- Oct 16Sport Recife v Fortaleza0-2
- Oct 16Ponte Preta v Atlético Goianiense1-1
- Oct 13Athletic Club v Londrina2-2
- Oct 13Botafogo-SP v Ceará1-0
- Oct 12Criciúma v América Mineiro1-0
- Oct 12Novorizontino v Ponte Preta5-1
- Oct 12Fortaleza v CRB2-2
- Oct 11Cuiabá v Avaí0-1
- Oct 11Operário-PR v Goiás0-2
- Oct 11Náutico v Vila Nova FC0-2
- Oct 11Atlético Goianiense v Sport Recife1-1
- Oct 11Juventude v São Bernardo2-2
- Oct 7América Mineiro v Fortaleza0-1
- Oct 7CRB v Atlético Goianiense3-1
- Oct 7Vila Nova FC v Cuiabá0-0
- Oct 7Operário-PR v Botafogo-SP1-2
- Oct 7Avaí v Londrina2-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
7
Spots
1
Graded here
154
last 90 days
Called right
47%
of 154
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Serie B
Favourite won
47%
Drawn
29%
Underdog won
24%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 307 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 67 |
| 2 | Juventude | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 35 | +11 | 60 |
| 4 | Criciúma | 35 | +7 | 60 |
| 5 | CRB | 36 | +4 | 56 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 36 | +8 | 53 |
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