3rd Division, Group 4. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    3rd Division, Group 4 · next 6

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Varhaug v Haugesund II
    Likeliest: Varhaug win · 52%
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 52 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Brodd v Åkra
    Likeliest: Brodd win · 61%
    12:00
    Our probability, home win: 61 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 17 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    FK Mandalskameratene v Madla
    Likeliest: FK Mandalskameratene win · 37%
    12:00
    Our probability, home win: 37 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Stabæk Fotball II v Hinna
    Likeliest: Stabæk Fotball II win · 46%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 46 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 27 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Staal Jørpeland v Vindbjart
    Likeliest: Staal Jørpeland win · 37%
    14:00
    Our probability, home win: 37 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Viking FK II v Flekkerøy
    Likeliest: Viking FK II win · 46%
    15:00
    Our probability, home win: 46 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 27 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent 3rd Division, Group 4 results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    6
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    18
    last 90 days
    Called right
    33%
    of 18

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Madla12+2429
    2FK Mandalskameratene12+1427
    3Brodd12+720
    4Våg FK12+620
    5Vindbjart12+1218
    6Stabæk Fotball II12+218
    Full table →
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