The draw: our number for every match in the next three days.

    The chance, as our model prices it, that the match ends level. Next to it is the bookmakers' price for the same thing with their margin taken out, so the two are the same kind of number. Highest first. After the final whistle each number is graded against what happened and against where the bookmakers' line closed — win or lose, in public.

    160 matches priced
    Ours
    Market
    Price
    35%
    33%
    —
    34%
    31%
    —
    PK-35 v FF Jaro
    21 Wed · 16:00 · Veikkausliiga
    32%
    31%
    —
    32%
    29%
    —
    31%
    29%
    —
    31%
    29%
    —
    31%
    29%
    —
    31%
    29%
    —
    31%
    28%
    —
    31%
    29%
    —
    31%
    28%
    —
    30%
    28%
    —
    30%
    28%
    —
    30%
    28%
    —
    30%
    28%
    —
    30%
    28%
    —
    30%
    28%
    —
    29%
    28%
    —
    29%
    28%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    29%
    27%
    —
    28%
    27%
    —
    28%
    27%
    —
    28%
    27%
    —
    Pafos FC v Riga FC
    22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference Leaguespot · draw
    28%
    23%
    —
    28%
    26%
    —
    28%
    26%
    —
    28%
    26%
    —
    28%
    26%
    —
    28%
    26%
    —
    27%
    26%
    —
    27%
    27%
    —
    27%
    26%
    —
    27%
    26%
    —
    27%
    26%
    —
    27%
    26%
    —
    27%
    25%
    —
    27%
    26%
    —
    27%
    25%
    —
    26%
    25%
    —
    26%
    25%
    —
    26%
    24%
    —
    26%
    25%
    —
    26%
    —
    —
    25%
    24%
    —
    25%
    24%
    —
    25%
    24%
    —
    25%
    24%
    —
    24%
    24%
    —
    24%
    23%
    —
    24%
    24%
    —
    24%
    24%
    —
    23%
    24%
    —
    23%
    23%
    —
    23%
    23%
    —
    23%
    24%
    —
    23%
    23%
    —
    22%
    22%
    —
    22%
    22%
    —
    22%
    22%
    —
    21%
    22%
    —
    21%
    22%
    —
    21%
    22%
    —
    21%
    22%
    —
    20%
    21%
    —
    20%
    20%
    —
    20%
    20%
    —
    19%
    20%
    —
    19%
    19%
    —
    Al-Nassr v Neom SC
    20 Tue · 18:00 · Pro League
    19%
    20%
    —
    18%
    19%
    —
    17%
    19%
    —
    16%
    17%
    —
    15%
    17%
    —
    14%
    15%
    —
    3%
    4%
    —

    Ours is our probability; market is the bookmakers' price with the margin removed. Purple is a gap of 4 points or more, and a purple edge marks a spot on this market: an outcome we are longer on than the market by that much, with a price behind it. The price links to a partner in your country.

    Prices link to licensed bookmakers · 18+ · T&Cs apply · Gamble responsibly · We earn a commission if you sign up.

    Every number on this page is graded after kick-off against the bookmakers' closing line. See the record →