Over 2.5 goals: our number for every match in the next three days.

The chance, as our model prices it, of three goals or more. Next to it is the bookmakers' price for the same thing with their margin taken out, so the two are the same kind of number. Highest first. After the final whistle each number is graded against what happened and against where the bookmakers' line closed — win or lose, in public.

160 matches priced

Ours

Market

Price

CD Guadalajara v Club Necaxa

21 Wed · 00:07 · Liga MX

85%

82%

—

Aalesund FK II v Nardo

21 Wed · 14:00 · 3rd Division, Group 2

81%

—

PSG v Barcelona

20 Tue · 19:00 · Champions League

77%

76%

—

Roma v ŠK Slovan Bratislava

20 Tue · 19:00 · Champions League

76%

74%

—

Real Madrid v RB Leipzig

21 Wed · 19:00 · Champions League

76%

75%

—

Manchester City v AEK Athens

20 Tue · 19:00 · Champions League

76%

74%

—

Sogndal IL v Raufoss

21 Wed · 17:00 · 1. Division

74%

70%

—

Aston Villa v Viking FK

21 Wed · 19:00 · Champions League

74%

72%

—

Inter Milan v Shakhtar Donetsk

21 Wed · 19:00 · Champions League

72%

—

OFI Crete v Bayer 04 Leverkusen

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa League

72%

69%

—

Al-Shahaniya v Al-Sadd

22 Thu · 14:30 · Stars League

71%

72%

—

FC Cincinnati v DC United

21 Wed · 23:00 · Major League Soccer

69%

—

Sabah FK v Borussia Dortmund

20 Tue · 16:45 · Champions League

67%

66%

—

Al-Fateh v Al-Shabab

22 Thu · 14:45 · Pro League

66%

—

FK Jablonec v Brighton & Hove Albion

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

66%

64%

—

Al-Gharafa v Al-Ahli Doha

22 Thu · 16:45 · Stars League

66%

65%

—

Real Betis v Feyenoord

21 Wed · 19:00 · Champions League

65%

—

Columbus Crew v St.Louis City

22 Thu · 00:00 · US Open Cup

65%

64%

—

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt

20 Tue · 19:00 · Champions League

65%

—

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise v Hapoel Be'er Sheva

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa League

65%

64%

—

SC Jacksonville v Louisville City FC

21 Wed · 21:00 · USL Championship

63%

66%

—

FC Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa League

63%

62%

—

Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

62%

—

Liverpool v Villarreal

20 Tue · 19:00 · Champions League

62%

63%

—

Brooklyn FC v Birmingham Legion FC

21 Wed · 22:30 · USL Championship

62%

63%

—

TSG Hoffenheim v Olympique Lyonnais

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

61%

62%

—

Al-Wakrah v Al-Arabi SC

22 Thu · 14:00 · Stars League

61%

68%

—

VfB Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid

20 Tue · 19:00 · Champions League

61%

62%

—

Club Brugge KV v RC Lens

21 Wed · 19:00 · Champions League

61%

62%

—

Sarasota Paradise v FC Naples

21 Wed · 22:30 · USL League One

61%

54%

—

FC United of Manchester v Altrincham

20 Tue · 18:45 · FA Cup

61%

57%

—

Bromley v Leicester City

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

60%

—

FC Midtjylland v Sint-Truidense VV

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa Conference League

60%

61%

—

FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven

20 Tue · 19:00 · Champions League

60%

61%

—

Al-Nassr v Neom SC

20 Tue · 18:00 · Pro League

60%

63%

—

GNK Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa League

60%

62%

—

FC Nordsjælland v CSKA Sofia

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

60%

59%

—

Al-Ahli v Al-Khaleej

22 Thu · 18:00 · Pro League

60%

64%

—

Luton Town v Barnsley

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

59%

66%

—

Trabzonspor v Hearts

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

59%

—

Ferencváros TC v Torreense

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa League

59%

—

Omonia Nicosia v Benfica

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

59%

—

Lincoln Red Imps v FC Twente

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa Conference League

59%

—

Lillestrøm SK v Real Sociedad

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

59%

—

NK Celje v Red Bull Salzburg

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

59%

58%

—

Como v Manchester United

21 Wed · 16:45 · Champions League

58%

59%

—

New York Cosmos v Spokane Velocity FC

21 Wed · 23:00 · USL League One

58%

59%

—

Norrköping v Örebro

20 Tue · 17:00 · Superettan

58%

59%

—

Huddersfield Town v Peterborough United

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

58%

66%

—

FC Bayern München v Arsenal

21 Wed · 19:00 · Champions League

57%

59%

—

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad

20 Tue · 18:00 · Pro League

57%

66%

—

Cúcuta Deportivo v Atlético Nacional

20 Tue · 23:30 · Primera A

57%

56%

—

Gloucester City v Barrow AFC

20 Tue · 18:45 · FA Cup

57%

58%

—

Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

57%

—

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai v Al-Ain

22 Thu · 16:00 · Presidents Cup

57%

—

AFC Ajax v Atalanta

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa Conference League

57%

58%

—

AS Monaco v SC Freiburg

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa Conference League

57%

58%

—

Al-Diraiyah Club v Al-Riyadh

20 Tue · 15:00 · Pro League

57%

—

Fenerbahçe v SK Slavia Praha

20 Tue · 16:45 · Champions League

56%

58%

—

Barnet v Swindon Town

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

56%

59%

—

CD Toluca v Club Tijuana

22 Thu · 01:00 · Liga MX

56%

63%

—

Independiente Santa Fe v Jaguares de Córdoba

22 Thu · 01:20 · Primera A

56%

55%

—

CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul

22 Thu · 03:00 · Liga MX

56%

—

Viktoria Plzeň v Levski Sofia

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

56%

—

Pafos FC v Riga FC

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

56%

55%

—

FK Crvena zvezda v FC København

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

56%

57%

—

Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

56%

58%

—

Tigres UANL v Club León

21 Wed · 03:00 · Liga MX

55%

—

Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

55%

—

Santos Laguna v Pumas UNAM

22 Thu · 03:10 · Liga MX

55%

62%

—

Công An Hà Nội v Đông Á Thanh Hóa

22 Thu · 12:15 · V-League

55%

—

Bournemouth v AC Milan

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

55%

56%

—

Blackpool v Milton Keynes Dons

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

55%

56%

—

FC Iberia 1999 v Mjällby

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

55%

—

Vegalta Sendai v FC Imabari

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 League

55%

61%

—

FC Juárez v Atlante FC

21 Wed · 01:00 · Liga MX

54%

55%

—

Kyoto Sanga FC v Kashima Antlers

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

54%

—

Jagiellonia Białystok v RSC Anderlecht

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

54%

—

Olympiacos FC v AC Sparta Praha

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

54%

—

Tochigi City FC v Fujieda MYFC

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 League

54%

55%

—

V-Varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

54%

64%

—

York City v Accrington Stanley

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

54%

58%

—

FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

54%

55%

—

Urawa Red Diamonds v JEF United Chiba

21 Wed · 10:30 · J-League

54%

55%

—

Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

54%

58%

—

Rochdale v Grimsby Town

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

53%

—

FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa Conference League

53%

54%

—

Bristol Rovers v Salford City

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

53%

—

FK Kauno Žalgiris v SK Brann

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

53%

—

Kairat v Panathinaikos

22 Thu · 14:30 · Europa Conference League

53%

52%

—

Atlético San Luis v Querétaro FC

21 Wed · 01:00 · Liga MX

53%

54%

—

Millonarios v Once Caldas

21 Wed · 01:30 · Primera A

53%

51%

—

Al-Jazira v Ajman

22 Thu · 13:00 · Presidents Cup

53%

—

RB Omiya Ardija v Kataller Toyama

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 League

52%

63%

—

Club Puebla v CF Monterrey

22 Thu · 01:00 · Liga MX

52%

53%

—

Al-Hazem v Al-Fayha

22 Thu · 13:40 · Pro Leaguespot · over 2.5

52%

47%

—

Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Town

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

52%

—

Celtic v Celta Vigo

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa League

52%

53%

—

Cheltenham Town v Fleetwood Town

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

51%

53%

—

Montevideo City Torque v Atlético Mineiro

21 Wed · 22:00 · Copa Sudamericana

51%

—

Lech Poznań v Sunderland

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa League

51%

52%

—

Reading v Leyton Orient

21 Wed · 19:00 · League One

51%

60%

—

Wolverhampton v Portsmouth

20 Tue · 18:45 · Championship

51%

58%

—

Atlas FC v Club América

22 Thu · 01:00 · Liga MX

51%

56%

—

Fagiano Okayama v Mito Hollyhock

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

51%

49%

—

Stevenage v Plymouth Argyle

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

50%

51%

—

Getafe v FC Lugano

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

50%

—

Montedio Yamagata v Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

21 Wed · 04:00 · J2 League

49%

52%

—

Shonan Bellmare v Iwaki FC

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 League

49%

—

Jubilo Iwata v Oita Trinita

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 Leaguespot · over 2.5

49%

44%

—

Rotherham United v Newport County

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

49%

50%

—

FK Borac Banja Luka v KuPS

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa Conference League

49%

—

Walsall v Oldham Athletic

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

49%

53%

—

Exeter City v Crewe Alexandra

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

49%

47%

—

Chesterfield v Colchester United

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

49%

59%

—

Tokushima Vortis v Vanraure Hachinohe

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 Leaguespot · over 2.5

49%

43%

—

Larne FC v Linfield FC

20 Tue · 18:45 · NIFL Premiership

48%

49%

—

Ventforet Kofu v Yokohama FC

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 League

48%

55%

—

Inter Club d'Escaldes v Universitatea Craiova

22 Thu · 16:45 · Europa Conference League

48%

49%

—

Aldosivi Reserve v Banfield Reserve

20 Tue · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

48%

—

Cambridge United v Wycombe Wanderers

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

48%

56%

—

Northampton Town v Tranmere Rovers

20 Tue · 18:45 · League Two

48%

47%

—

Sarmiento Reserve v Tigre Reserve

20 Tue · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

47%

—

Levante UD v Athletic Club

21 Wed · 18:00 · La Liga

47%

49%

—

Sporting Braga v KAA Gent

22 Thu · 19:00 · Europa Conference League

47%

—

Internacional de Bogotá v Fortaleza CEIF

20 Tue · 23:00 · Primera A

47%

—

Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

47%

48%

—

Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Blaublitz Akita

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 Leaguespot · over 2.5

47%

41%

—

CD Riestra Reserve v Central Cordoba Reserve

22 Thu · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

46%

—

AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

46%

53%

—

Racing Reserve v San Lorenzo Reserve

22 Thu · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

46%

—

Defensa y Justicia Reserve v Atletico Rafaela Reserve

20 Tue · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

46%

52%

—

Gillingham v Port Vale

20 Tue · 19:00 · League Two

46%

—

Belgrano Reserve v Estudiantes de La Plata Reserve

21 Wed · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

45%

—

Albirex Niigata v Sagan Tosu

21 Wed · 10:00 · J2 League

45%

46%

—

Oxford United v Wigan Athletic

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

45%

56%

—

Lanús Reserve v Quilmes Reserve

21 Wed · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

45%

—

Palmeiras v Fluminense

22 Thu · 00:30 · Copa Libertadores

45%

44%

—

Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve v San Martin Reserve

21 Wed · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

44%

—

Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

44%

45%

—

Shimizu S-Pulse v Machida Zelvia

21 Wed · 10:00 · J-League

44%

46%

—

Ceramica Cleopatra v Petrojet

21 Wed · 17:00 · Premier League

43%

44%

—

Deportivo Pereira v Boyacá Chicó FC

20 Tue · 21:30 · Primera A

43%

—

Godoy Cruz Reserve v Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves

22 Thu · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

42%

—

ZED FC v Modern Sport FC

20 Tue · 14:00 · Premier Leaguespot · over 2.5

42%

36%

—

Wadi Degla v National Bank of Egypt

20 Tue · 15:00 · Premier League

42%

41%

—

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve v Colón Reserve

21 Wed · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

42%

—

Burton Albion v Bradford City

20 Tue · 18:45 · League One

41%

46%

—

Unión Santa Fe Reserve v Barracas Central Reserve

22 Thu · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

41%

—

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Reserve v CA Independiente Reserve

20 Tue · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

40%

43%

—

Vasco da Gama v Boca Juniors

21 Wed · 00:30 · Copa Sudamericana

40%

41%

—

Argentinos Juniors Reserve v Rosario Central Reserve

20 Tue · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

40%

42%

—

PK-35 v FF Jaro

21 Wed · 16:00 · Veikkausliiga

39%

42%

—

River Plate Reserve v Vélez Sarsfield Reserve

21 Wed · 22:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

38%

—

Llaneros FC v Deportivo Cali

21 Wed · 23:15 · Primera A

37%

38%

—

Newell's Old Boys Reserve v Platense Reserve

20 Tue · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

37%

44%

—

Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve v Talleres de Córdoba Reserve

21 Wed · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

37%

—

Atlético Tucumán Reserve v Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve

22 Thu · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

37%

—

Huracán Reserve v Boca Juniors Reserve

22 Thu · 18:00 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División

35%

—

Dunfermline Athletic v Partick Thistle

20 Tue · 18:45 · Championship

35%

46%

—

Ours is our probability; market is the bookmakers' price with the margin removed. Purple is a gap of 4 points or more, and a purple edge marks a spot on this market: an outcome we are longer on than the market by that much, with a price behind it. The price links to a partner in your country.

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Every number on this page is graded after kick-off against the bookmakers' closing line. See the record →