Danish 1st Division. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Danish 1st Division · next 6

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Hobro v Vendsyssel FF
    Likeliest: Hobro win · 38%
    16:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 38 percent
    Market probability, home win: 40 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 33 percent
    Market probability, away win: 33 percent
    —
    Hvidovre v HB Køge
    Likeliest: Hvidovre win · 48%
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 48 percent
    Market probability, home win: 48 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 26 percent
    Market probability, away win: 27 percent
    —
    Hillerød v AaB
    Likeliest: AaB win · 50%
    11:00
    Our probability, home win: 24 percent
    Market probability, home win: 28 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 50 percent
    Market probability, away win: 47 percent
    —
    Esbjerg v FC Fredericia
    Likeliest: FC Fredericia win · 66%
    11:30spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 14 percent
    Market probability, home win: 18 percent
    Our probability, draw: 21 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 66 percent
    Market probability, away win: 61 percent
    —
    AB v Kolding IF
    Likeliest: AB win · 40%
    12:00
    Our probability, home win: 40 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 33 percent
    Market probability, away win: 32 percent
    —
    Vejle v Aarhus Fremad
    Likeliest: Vejle win · 65%
    16:30spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 65 percent
    Market probability, home win: 62 percent
    Our probability, draw: 19 percent
    Market probability, draw: 20 percent
    Our probability, away win: 16 percent
    Market probability, away win: 18 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Danish 1st Division results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    6
    Spots
    3
    Graded here
    27
    last 90 days
    Called right
    52%
    of 27

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Hvidovre11+1127
    2Vejle11+922
    3FC Fredericia11+1120
    4AB11+415
    5AaB11-114
    6Aarhus Fremad11-114
    Full table →
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