NB I. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    NB I · next 6

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Budapest Honvéd FC v Debreceni VSC
    Likeliest: Budapest Honvéd FC win · 38%
    12:30
    Our probability, home win: 38 percent
    Market probability, home win: 39 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 37 percent
    Market probability, away win: 36 percent
    —
    ETO FC Győr v Újpest
    Likeliest: ETO FC Győr win · 40%
    15:00
    Our probability, home win: 40 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 35 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —
    Zalaegerszegi TE v Kisvárda FC
    Likeliest: Zalaegerszegi TE win · 48%
    17:30
    Our probability, home win: 48 percent
    Market probability, home win: 47 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 27 percent
    Market probability, away win: 28 percent
    —
    Vasas v Paksi FC
    Likeliest: Vasas win · 42%
    12:15
    Our probability, home win: 42 percent
    Market probability, home win: 42 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —
    Puskás Akadémia v Nyiregyháza Spartacus
    Likeliest: Puskás Akadémia win · 52%
    14:30
    Our probability, home win: 52 percent
    Market probability, home win: 50 percent
    Our probability, draw: 24 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 24 percent
    Market probability, away win: 25 percent
    —
    Ferencváros TC v MTK Budapest
    Likeliest: Ferencváros TC win · 72%
    17:00spot · home
    Our probability, home win: 72 percent
    Market probability, home win: 68 percent
    Our probability, draw: 16 percent
    Market probability, draw: 18 percent
    Our probability, away win: 12 percent
    Market probability, away win: 14 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent NB I results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    6
    Spots
    1
    Graded here
    18
    last 90 days
    Called right
    44%
    of 18

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Puskás Akadémia10+521
    2ETO FC Győr10+618
    3Vasas10+515
    4Újpest10+315
    5Ferencváros TC9+314
    6Paksi FC10+114
    Full table →
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