NB I. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
NB I · next 6
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 38 percent
Market probability, home win: 39 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 37 percent
Market probability, away win: 36 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 40 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 35 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 48 percent
Market probability, home win: 47 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 27 percent
Market probability, away win: 28 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: 42 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 52 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: 25 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 72 percent
Market probability, home win: 68 percent
Our probability, draw: 16 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 12 percent
Market probability, away win: 14 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent NB I results
- Oct 18Kisvárda FC v Ferencváros TC1-1
- Oct 18Debreceni VSC v Zalaegerszegi TE3-0
- Oct 17Újpest v Puskás Akadémia0-1
- Oct 17Paksi FC v ETO FC Győr1-2
- Oct 16MTK Budapest v Vasas1-0
- Oct 11Zalaegerszegi TE v Nyiregyháza Spartacus5-1
- Oct 10Paksi FC v MTK Budapest3-0
- Oct 10Ferencváros TC v Debreceni VSC1-1
- Sep 20Újpest v Zalaegerszegi TE2-1
- Sep 20MTK Budapest v ETO FC Győr1-2
- Sep 19Debreceni VSC v Vasas2-4
- Sep 6Ferencváros TC v Újpest2-2
- Sep 3ETO FC Győr v Ferencváros TC0-3
- Aug 29Újpest v Vasas3-1
- Aug 17Zalaegerszegi TE v Ferencváros TC0-1
- Aug 15Újpest v MTK Budapest1-1
- Aug 3Zalaegerszegi TE v Paksi FC5-2
- Jul 26Paksi FC v Ferencváros TC4-2
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
6
Spots
1
Graded here
18
last 90 days
Called right
44%
of 18
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskás Akadémia | 10 | +5 | 21 |
| 2 | ETO FC Győr | 10 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Vasas | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 | Újpest | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 | Ferencváros TC | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Paksi FC | 10 | +1 | 14 |
Read next