Primera División. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Primera División · next 7
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 46 percent
Market probability, home win: 46 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 27 percent
Market probability, away win: 27 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 39 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 59 percent
Market probability, home win: 57 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 20 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 39 percent
Market probability, away win: 38 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 22 percent
Market probability, home win: 26 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 50 percent
Market probability, away win: 48 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 26 percent
Market probability, home win: 29 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 46 percent
Market probability, away win: 44 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 32 percent
Market probability, home win: 35 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 39 percent
Market probability, away win: 38 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Primera División results
- Oct 12Universidad de Chile v Ñublense6-0
- Oct 11Deportes Limache v Palestino2-2
- Oct 11Deportes Concepción v Unión La Calera1-1
- Oct 11Coquimbo Unido v Colo Colo5-2
- Oct 11Everton de Viña del Mar v Deportes La Serena3-2
- Oct 10Huachipato v O'Higgins2-0
- Oct 10Cobresal v Universidad de Concepción1-1
- Sep 13Audax Italiano v O'Higgins1-0
- Sep 13Colo Colo v Deportes Concepción1-1
- Sep 13Deportes La Serena v Universidad de Chile0-3
- Sep 12Palestino v Universidad Católica2-3
- Sep 12Cobresal v Coquimbo Unido3-2
- Sep 1Universidad Católica v O'Higgins3-2
- Aug 31Coquimbo Unido v Huachipato0-0
- Aug 26Coquimbo Unido v Universidad Católica1-2
- Aug 23O'Higgins v Palestino0-1
- Aug 1Palestino v Coquimbo Unido2-1
- Jul 27Deportes Concepción v O'Higgins2-0
- Jul 26Universidad Católica v Deportes La Serena3-3
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
7
Spots
0
Graded here
19
last 90 days
Called right
42%
of 19
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad de Chile | 12 | +18 | 28 |
| 2 | Colo Colo | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportes Concepción | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 11 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Everton de Viña del Mar | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 6 | Palestino | 11 | +2 | 17 |
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