Superliga. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Superliga · next 4

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    FC Midtjylland v Lyngby
    Likeliest: FC Midtjylland win · 64%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 64 percent
    Market probability, home win: 61 percent
    Our probability, draw: 19 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 17 percent
    Market probability, away win: 18 percent
    —
    Silkeborg IF v FC Nordsjælland
    Likeliest: FC Nordsjælland win · 60%
    13:00spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 18 percent
    Market probability, home win: 22 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 60 percent
    Market probability, away win: 56 percent
    —
    AC Horsens v Sønderjyske Fodbold
    Likeliest: AC Horsens win · 38%
    15:00
    Our probability, home win: 38 percent
    Market probability, home win: 39 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 34 percent
    Market probability, away win: 34 percent
    —
    AGF v Viborg FF
    Likeliest: AGF win · 39%
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 39 percent
    Market probability, home win: 40 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 33 percent
    Market probability, away win: 33 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Superliga results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    4
    Spots
    1
    Graded here
    56
    last 90 days
    Called right
    48%
    of 56

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in Superliga
    Favourite won
    51%
    Drawn
    29%
    Underdog won
    21%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 154 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1FC København11+1425
    2FC Midtjylland11+925
    3Viborg FF11+820
    4FC Nordsjælland11+419
    5Brøndby IF11016
    6AC Horsens11-113
    Full table →
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