Chance Liga. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Chance Liga · next 8
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 60 percent
Market probability, home win: 58 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 17 percent
Market probability, away win: 19 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 20 percent
Market probability, home win: 24 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 52 percent
Market probability, away win: 49 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 61 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 17 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 44 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 30 percent
Our probability, away win: 26 percent
Market probability, away win: 27 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 79 percent
Market probability, home win: 75 percent
Our probability, draw: 13 percent
Market probability, draw: 15 percent
Our probability, away win: 8 percent
Market probability, away win: 10 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 34 percent
Market probability, draw: 32 percent
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: 25 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 76 percent
Market probability, home win: 72 percent
Our probability, draw: 15 percent
Market probability, draw: 17 percent
Our probability, away win: 9 percent
Market probability, away win: 11 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 66 percent
Market probability, home win: 63 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 14 percent
Market probability, away win: 16 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Chance Liga results
- Oct 18FK Jablonec v Viktoria Plzeň2-3
- Oct 18Baník Ostrava v AC Sparta Praha0-0
- Oct 181. FC Slovácko v FC Zbrojovka Brno1-2
- Oct 17SK Sigma Olomouc v FC Slovan Liberec1-0
- Oct 17SK Slavia Praha v FC Hradec Králové0-0
- Oct 17FK Pardubice v FC Zlín3-0
- Oct 17Mladá Boleslav v FK Teplice1-0
- Oct 14Bohemians Praha 1905 v Mladá Boleslav1-0
- Oct 11AC Sparta Praha v FK Pardubice2-0
- Oct 11FK Teplice v SK Sigma Olomouc1-1
- Oct 11FC Slovan Liberec v 1. FC Slovácko0-2
- Oct 10FC Hradec Králové v SK Líšeň2-4
- Oct 10FC Zbrojovka Brno v FK Jablonec0-1
- Oct 10Viktoria Plzeň v Mladá Boleslav3-0
- Oct 9FC Zlín v SK Slavia Praha0-1
- Sep 20SK Slavia Praha v Viktoria Plzeň2-1
- Sep 20FK Jablonec v FC Zlín1-1
- Sep 20SK Sigma Olomouc v AC Sparta Praha0-3
- Sep 20FC Hradec Králové v FK Teplice0-2
- Sep 191. FC Slovácko v Baník Ostrava2-2
- Sep 19Mladá Boleslav v FC Zbrojovka Brno2-0
- Sep 19SK Líšeň v FC Slovan Liberec0-0
- Sep 13FK Teplice v SK Slavia Praha0-2
- Sep 13Viktoria Plzeň v SK Sigma Olomouc2-3
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
8
Spots
2
Graded here
62
last 90 days
Called right
53%
of 62
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Chance Liga
Favourite won
56%
Drawn
19%
Underdog won
25%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 216 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Slavia Praha | 11 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Slovan Liberec | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Mladá Boleslav | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | SK Sigma Olomouc | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Sparta Praha | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Zbrojovka Brno | 11 | 0 | 19 |
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