1. HNL. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
1. HNL · next 3
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 38 percent
Market probability, home win: 40 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 58 percent
Market probability, home win: 56 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 68 percent
Market probability, home win: 65 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent 1. HNL results
- Oct 18HNK Hajduk Split v NK Varaždin1-0
- Oct 17NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Istra 19612-0
- Oct 11NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varaždin0-1
- Oct 10NK Osijek v NK Istra 19611-3
- Oct 10HNK Hajduk Split v GNK Dinamo Zagreb2-1
- Sep 20GNK Dinamo Zagreb v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-2
- Sep 20HNK Rijeka v HNK Hajduk Split3-0
- Sep 19NK Istra 1961 v HNK Gorica0-1
- Sep 19NK Varaždin v NK Osijek0-0
- Sep 12NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Rijeka1-1
- Sep 12NK Osijek v GNK Dinamo Zagreb4-2
- Sep 5HNK Rijeka v NK Osijek4-1
- Aug 31HNK Gorica v HNK Rijeka0-0
- Aug 31HNK Hajduk Split v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0
- Aug 23HNK Hajduk Split v NK Osijek4-0
- Aug 23HNK Rijeka v NK Istra 19613-2
- Aug 16HNK Gorica v HNK Hajduk Split1-2
- Aug 16NK Varaždin v HNK Rijeka2-0
- Aug 15NK Osijek v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0
- Aug 9HNK Hajduk Split v NK Istra 19612-2
- Aug 8NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Gorica3-1
- Aug 2NK Varaždin v HNK Hajduk Split2-1
- Aug 1HNK Gorica v NK Osijek0-2
- Aug 1NK Istra 1961 v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-3
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
3
Spots
0
Graded here
24
last 90 days
Called right
50%
of 24
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in 1. HNL
Favourite won
55%
Drawn
24%
Underdog won
21%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 136 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | NK Varaždin | 10 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 9 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | NK Istra 1961 | 10 | +1 | 12 |
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