LigaPro Serie A. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
LigaPro Serie A · next 7
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Price
Independiente del Valle v Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Likeliest: Independiente del Valle win · 58%
20:30
Our probability, home win: 58 percent
Market probability, home win: 55 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 33 percent
Market probability, draw: 30 percent
Our probability, away win: 37 percent
Market probability, away win: 37 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: 51 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 50 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 48 percent
Market probability, home win: 48 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 57 percent
Market probability, home win: 55 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 15 percent
Market probability, away win: 18 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 49 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent LigaPro Serie A results
- Oct 19Mushuc Runa v Orense SC1-1
- Oct 18Barcelona SC v Universidad Católica del Ecuador1-1
- Oct 18Aucas v LDU1-1
- Oct 18Leones del Norte v Emelec1-3
- Oct 18Delfín v Manta FC4-2
- Oct 17Macará v Independiente del Valle1-0
- Oct 17Libertad v Guayaquil City4-0
- Oct 16Deportivo Cuenca v Técnico Universitario2-1
- Oct 11LDU v Barcelona SC2-1
- Oct 11Orense SC v Deportivo Cuenca0-0
- Oct 11Universidad Católica del Ecuador v Macará0-1
- Oct 10Guayaquil City v Emelec3-2
- Oct 10Manta FC v Técnico Universitario1-0
- Oct 10Independiente del Valle v Aucas2-1
- Oct 9Delfín v Mushuc Runa3-2
- Oct 9Libertad v Leones del Norte3-0
- Sep 20LDU v Universidad Católica del Ecuador2-1
- Sep 20Emelec v Libertad1-2
- Sep 20Deportivo Cuenca v Mushuc Runa1-1
- Sep 20Técnico Universitario v Delfín1-1
- Sep 19Guayaquil City v Leones del Norte1-1
- Sep 19Aucas v Macará1-2
- Sep 15Universidad Católica del Ecuador v Orense SC2-1
- Sep 13Barcelona SC v Delfín1-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
7
Spots
1
Graded here
85
last 90 days
Called right
48%
of 85
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in LigaPro Serie A
Favourite won
49%
Drawn
25%
Underdog won
25%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 87 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 18 | +28 | 44 |
| 2 | Macará | 19 | +12 | 41 |
| 3 | Libertad | 19 | +12 | 34 |
| 4 | LDU | 19 | +6 | 30 |
| 5 | Aucas | 20 | +2 | 30 |
| 6 | Emelec | 20 | -3 | 27 |
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