Ligue 2. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Ligue 2 · next 6
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 38 percent
Market probability, home win: 40 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 32 percent
Market probability, home win: 34 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 41 percent
Market probability, away win: 40 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 53 percent
Market probability, home win: 52 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 53 percent
Market probability, home win: 53 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 31 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 54 percent
Market probability, home win: 52 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Ligue 2 results
- Oct 19Rodez AF v Montpellier0-3
- Oct 17Nantes v USL Dunkerque2-3
- Oct 17Metz v Sochaux3-2
- Oct 16Guingamp v Pau FC1-2
- Oct 16Annecy FC v Nancy1-2
- Oct 10Saint-Étienne v Rodez AF2-0
- Oct 10Nantes v Stade de Reims0-0
- Oct 9Nancy v Guingamp1-0
- Oct 9USL Dunkerque v Annecy FC0-1
- Oct 9Montpellier v Grenoble Foot 382-0
- Sep 19Metz v Saint-Étienne2-2
- Sep 19Guingamp v Red Star FC1-3
- Sep 18Rodez AF v Nancy3-4
- Sep 14Red Star FC v Metz1-0
- Sep 12Guingamp v Annecy FC2-1
- Sep 11Rodez AF v Grenoble Foot 380-1
- Sep 7Nantes v Nancy1-0
- Sep 5Saint-Étienne v Montpellier3-1
- Sep 5Metz v Rodez AF4-1
- Aug 29Guingamp v Nantes3-3
- Aug 29Annecy FC v Metz1-1
- Aug 28Rodez AF v Pau FC2-2
- Aug 22Saint-Étienne v Grenoble Foot 384-0
- Aug 22Nantes v Rodez AF2-5
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
6
Spots
1
Graded here
31
last 90 days
Called right
42%
of 31
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Ligue 2
Favourite won
42%
Drawn
30%
Underdog won
28%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 210 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 9 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 9 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Stade de Reims | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 | Red Star FC | 9 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 | Nancy | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Pau FC | 9 | +2 | 14 |
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