Canadian Premier League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Canadian Premier League · next 4
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 22 percent
Market probability, home win: 11 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 55 percent
Market probability, away win: 71 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 39 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 40 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 31 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 33 percent
Market probability, away win: 44 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 62 percent
Market probability, home win: 62 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 16 percent
Market probability, away win: 17 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Canadian Premier League results
- Oct 17Cavalry FC v Pacific FC4-2
- Oct 17Atlético Ottawa v Forge FC1-2
- Oct 17Vancouver FC v HFX Wanderers FC2-1
- Oct 16FC Supra Du Quebec v York United FC3-0
- Oct 12HFX Wanderers FC v Cavalry FC2-2
- Oct 12Forge FC v York United FC5-0
- Oct 11Pacific FC v Atlético Ottawa0-2
- Oct 10FC Supra Du Quebec v Vancouver FC2-2
- Oct 7Forge FC v Pacific FC3-0
- Oct 7York United FC v FC Supra Du Quebec1-2
- Oct 4FC Supra Du Quebec v Pacific FC5-0
- Oct 3Forge FC v HFX Wanderers FC3-3
- Oct 3York United FC v Cavalry FC3-1
- Sep 30Atlético Ottawa v Cavalry FC3-2
- Sep 27York United FC v Pacific FC3-4
- Sep 26Vancouver FC v Forge FC1-1
- Sep 26HFX Wanderers FC v Atlético Ottawa0-1
- Sep 26Cavalry FC v FC Supra Du Quebec0-0
- Sep 24Vancouver FC v York United FC3-3
- Sep 20HFX Wanderers FC v York United FC4-1
- Sep 20Atlético Ottawa v FC Supra Du Quebec0-2
- Sep 20Pacific FC v Vancouver FC1-1
- Sep 19Cavalry FC v Forge FC1-1
- Sep 13Pacific FC v Cavalry FC0-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
4
Spots
3
Graded here
42
last 90 days
Called right
55%
of 42
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Canadian Premier League
Favourite won
47%
Drawn
31%
Underdog won
22%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 32 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 21 | +22 | 41 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 21 | +20 | 41 |
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 21 | +3 | 36 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 21 | +6 | 33 |
| 5 | FC Supra Du Quebec | 21 | +3 | 29 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers FC | 20 | -2 | 22 |
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