1. Division. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
1. Division · next 9
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 60 percent
Market probability, home win: 57 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 21 percent
Market probability, home win: 24 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 59 percent
Market probability, away win: 54 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 11 percent
Market probability, home win: 15 percent
Our probability, draw: 17 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 72 percent
Market probability, away win: 67 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 40 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 35 percent
Market probability, away win: 34 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 81 percent
Market probability, home win: 76 percent
Our probability, draw: 11 percent
Market probability, draw: 14 percent
Our probability, away win: 8 percent
Market probability, away win: 10 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 54 percent
Market probability, home win: 52 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 20 percent
Market probability, home win: 23 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 61 percent
Market probability, away win: 56 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 53 percent
Market probability, home win: 51 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 26 percent
Market probability, away win: 27 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 63 percent
Market probability, home win: 60 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 17 percent
Market probability, away win: 19 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent 1. Division results
- Oct 18Kongsvinger v Sandnes Ulf4-0
- Oct 18Ranheim IL v Bryne FK4-2
- Oct 18Lyn FK v Moss FK1-0
- Oct 18Hødd IL v Raufoss5-1
- Oct 18Odds BK v Strømmen IF1-2
- Oct 18Åsane v Stabæk Fotball0-1
- Oct 18Strømsgodset v Haugesund5-0
- Oct 18Egersund v Sogndal IL3-3
- Oct 14Bryne FK v Raufoss1-1
- Oct 14Strømsgodset v Kongsvinger5-1
- Oct 14Moss FK v Egersund0-0
- Oct 14Haugesund v Lyn FK3-0
- Oct 14Hødd IL v Ranheim IL1-1
- Oct 14Stabæk Fotball v Sandnes Ulf4-1
- Oct 14Sogndal IL v Odds BK0-1
- Oct 14Strømmen IF v Åsane6-1
- Oct 11Raufoss v Moss FK1-2
- Oct 11Sandnes Ulf v Haugesund1-1
- Oct 11Kongsvinger v Ranheim IL6-2
- Oct 11Åsane v Sogndal IL2-1
- Oct 11Egersund v Hødd IL3-1
- Oct 11Odds BK v Bryne FK2-1
- Oct 11Lyn FK v Strømsgodset0-0
- Oct 11Stabæk Fotball v Strømmen IF2-2
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
9
Spots
4
Graded here
85
last 90 days
Called right
51%
of 85
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in 1. Division
Favourite won
62%
Drawn
22%
Underdog won
16%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 82 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 19 | +23 | 43 |
| 2 | Strømsgodset | 19 | +30 | 41 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 19 | +27 | 39 |
| 4 | Stabæk Fotball | 19 | +22 | 38 |
| 5 | Bryne FK | 19 | +5 | 32 |
| 6 | Odds BK | 19 | +7 | 29 |
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