Allsvenskan. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Allsvenskan · next 8
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 40 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 31 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 57 percent
Market probability, home win: 55 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 68 percent
Market probability, home win: 64 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 62 percent
Market probability, home win: 59 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 19 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 48 percent
Market probability, home win: 47 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 26 percent
Market probability, away win: 27 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 87 percent
Market probability, home win: 82 percent
Our probability, draw: 8 percent
Market probability, draw: 11 percent
Our probability, away win: 5 percent
Market probability, away win: 6 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 13 percent
Market probability, home win: 17 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 66 percent
Market probability, away win: 61 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Allsvenskan results
- Oct 19Degerfors IF v Kalmar1-2
- Oct 18Malmö FF v BK Häcken0-1
- Oct 18Halmstads BK v Hammarby0-1
- Oct 18Örgryte IS v GAIS4-2
- Oct 18Västerås SK v Mjällby1-0
- Oct 18IK Sirius v IF Elfsborg2-2
- Oct 17AIK v Göteborg2-2
- Oct 16IF Brommapojkarna v Djurgården0-2
- Oct 12IF Elfsborg v Halmstads BK4-0
- Oct 12Malmö FF v Kalmar1-0
- Oct 11BK Häcken v Örgryte IS3-0
- Oct 11Hammarby v Djurgården0-1
- Oct 10Mjällby v Degerfors IF1-1
- Oct 10AIK v IF Brommapojkarna5-6
- Oct 10GAIS v IK Sirius0-1
- Oct 9Göteborg v Västerås SK1-0
- Sep 20Mjällby v GAIS0-3
- Sep 20Degerfors IF v Hammarby0-1
- Sep 20Halmstads BK v AIK2-1
- Sep 20Djurgården v IF Elfsborg1-2
- Sep 20Kalmar v BK Häcken0-5
- Sep 19Örgryte IS v IK Sirius1-2
- Sep 19IF Brommapojkarna v Göteborg0-1
- Sep 19Västerås SK v Malmö FF2-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
8
Spots
6
Graded here
72
last 90 days
Called right
57%
of 72
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Allsvenskan
Favourite won
48%
Drawn
24%
Underdog won
28%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 156 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Djurgården | 26 | +34 | 53 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 25 | +25 | 46 |
| 3 | Malmö FF | 27 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Västerås SK | 27 | +2 | 44 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | -6 | 37 |
| 6 | GAIS | 27 | +5 | 34 |
Read next