Eliteserien. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Eliteserien · next 8
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 87 percent
Market probability, home win: 83 percent
Our probability, draw: 7 percent
Market probability, draw: 10 percent
Our probability, away win: 5 percent
Market probability, away win: 7 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 16 percent
Market probability, home win: 20 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 62 percent
Market probability, away win: 57 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 68 percent
Market probability, home win: 64 percent
Our probability, draw: 18 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 14 percent
Market probability, away win: 16 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 53 percent
Market probability, home win: 52 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: 25 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 44 percent
Market probability, home win: 44 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 39 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 33 percent
Market probability, away win: 33 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 35 percent
Market probability, away win: 34 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 62 percent
Market probability, home win: 60 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 16 percent
Market probability, away win: 18 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Eliteserien results
- Oct 18Tromsø IL v KFUM Oslo1-1
- Oct 18Sandefjord Fotball v Lillestrøm SK0-2
- Oct 18Vålerenga IF v SK Brann3-1
- Oct 18Molde FK v IK Start6-1
- Oct 18Sarpsborg 08 v Rosenborg BK0-3
- Oct 17Viking FK v Fredrikstad FK3-2
- Oct 17Kristiansund BK v Aalesunds FK1-4
- Oct 17HamKam v Bodø/Glimt0-2
- Oct 12KFUM Oslo v Vålerenga IF2-1
- Oct 11Lillestrøm SK v Molde FK2-2
- Oct 11Aalesunds FK v Sarpsborg 082-4
- Oct 11IK Start v HamKam2-4
- Oct 11Fredrikstad FK v Tromsø IL1-1
- Oct 10Rosenborg BK v Sandefjord Fotball1-1
- Oct 10Bodø/Glimt v Kristiansund BK3-1
- Oct 9SK Brann v Viking FK0-2
- Sep 20SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt2-1
- Sep 20Viking FK v Lillestrøm SK3-0
- Sep 20Sandefjord Fotball v IK Start3-0
- Sep 20Tromsø IL v HamKam3-2
- Sep 20Vålerenga IF v Fredrikstad FK1-1
- Sep 19Molde FK v Aalesunds FK1-2
- Sep 19Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg BK1-3
- Sep 18Sarpsborg 08 v KFUM Oslo1-3
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
8
Spots
2
Graded here
54
last 90 days
Called right
52%
of 54
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Eliteserien
Favourite won
57%
Drawn
19%
Underdog won
24%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 160 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarpsborg 08 | 27 | -3 | 38 |
| 2 | Bodø/Glimt | 14 | +23 | 37 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 14 | +19 | 32 |
| 4 | HamKam | 26 | -13 | 31 |
| 5 | Rosenborg BK | 14 | +19 | 29 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 14 | +8 | 28 |
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