Superettan. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Superettan · next 8
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 53 percent
Market probability, home win: 52 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 68 percent
Market probability, home win: 65 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 60 percent
Market probability, home win: 59 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 15 percent
Market probability, away win: 17 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 47 percent
Market probability, home win: 47 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 27 percent
Market probability, away win: 28 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 46 percent
Market probability, home win: 46 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 47 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
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Our probability, home win: 19 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 58 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
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Our probability, home win: 39 percent
Market probability, home win: 40 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 34 percent
Market probability, away win: 34 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Superettan results
- Oct 19Varbergs BoIS v Helsingborg0-0
- Oct 18GIF Sundsvall v Värnamo0-1
- Oct 18United IK Nordic v Norrby IF2-1
- Oct 17Östers IF v IK Oddevold3-1
- Oct 17Sandvikens IF v Östersunds FK0-0
- Oct 17Falkenbergs FF v Landskrona4-3
- Oct 17Ljungskile SK v IK Brage2-0
- Oct 13Norrköping v GIF Sundsvall4-0
- Oct 11IK Brage v Helsingborg2-0
- Oct 11Värnamo v Falkenbergs FF1-2
- Oct 11Örebro v Ljungskile SK1-1
- Oct 10IK Oddevold v United IK Nordic2-0
- Oct 10Norrby IF v Östers IF0-0
- Oct 10Östersunds FK v Varbergs BoIS1-1
- Oct 10Landskrona v Sandvikens IF3-2
- Sep 20Helsingborg v Norrby IF0-0
- Sep 20GIF Sundsvall v Ljungskile SK3-2
- Sep 19Sandvikens IF v Örebro4-2
- Sep 19IK Oddevold v Värnamo1-2
- Sep 19Varbergs BoIS v IK Brage3-2
- Sep 19United IK Nordic v Landskrona1-4
- Sep 19Östers IF v Norrköping1-3
- Sep 18Falkenbergs FF v Östersunds FK0-0
- Sep 15Landskrona v GIF Sundsvall4-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
8
Spots
1
Graded here
75
last 90 days
Called right
37%
of 75
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Superettan
Favourite won
45%
Drawn
29%
Underdog won
26%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 77 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrköping | 18 | +31 | 47 |
| 2 | Landskrona | 18 | +15 | 34 |
| 3 | Falkenbergs FF | 18 | +10 | 33 |
| 4 | Östersunds FK | 18 | +7 | 31 |
| 5 | Varbergs BoIS | 19 | +3 | 31 |
| 6 | Sandvikens IF | 19 | +8 | 29 |
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