NWSL. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
NWSL · next 8
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 15 percent
Market probability, home win: 20 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 62 percent
Market probability, away win: 57 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 36 percent
Market probability, home win: 38 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 34 percent
Market probability, home win: 36 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 43 percent
Market probability, away win: 41 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 73 percent
Market probability, home win: 69 percent
Our probability, draw: 16 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 11 percent
Market probability, away win: 13 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 59 percent
Market probability, home win: 56 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 17 percent
Market probability, home win: 22 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 59 percent
Market probability, away win: 55 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: 25 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 60 percent
Market probability, home win: 58 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: 20 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent NWSL results
- Oct 18Chicago Stars FC v Seattle Reign FC1-3
- Oct 18Bay FC v Portland Thorns FC2-2
- Oct 18Houston Dash v Orlando Pride1-2
- Oct 18Denver Summit FC v Angel City FC2-3
- Oct 17North Carolina Courage v San Diego Wave FC1-2
- Oct 17Utah Royals FC v Kansas City Current0-2
- Oct 17Washington Spirit v NJ/NY Gotham FC1-0
- Oct 17Boston Legacy FC v Racing Louisville2-1
- Oct 4Houston Dash v Washington Spirit2-3
- Oct 4Chicago Stars FC v Denver Summit FC0-3
- Oct 4NJ/NY Gotham FC v Angel City FC1-1
- Oct 4Portland Thorns FC v Boston Legacy FC2-4
- Oct 3Kansas City Current v Bay FC5-1
- Oct 3Racing Louisville v Utah Royals FC1-1
- Oct 3Seattle Reign FC v North Carolina Courage0-1
- Oct 3Orlando Pride v San Diego Wave FC1-2
- Sep 27Utah Royals FC v North Carolina Courage2-1
- Sep 27Bay FC v Orlando Pride1-3
- Sep 27Portland Thorns FC v Houston Dash1-1
- Sep 26Washington Spirit v Angel City FC0-1
- Sep 26Kansas City Current v Denver Summit FC4-1
- Sep 26Seattle Reign FC v Boston Legacy FC0-0
- Sep 26NJ/NY Gotham FC v Chicago Stars FC0-0
- Sep 25Racing Louisville v San Diego Wave FC0-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
8
Spots
1
Graded here
61
last 90 days
Called right
51%
of 61
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in NWSL
Favourite won
55%
Drawn
21%
Underdog won
24%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 62 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC | 18 | +5 | 35 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit | 18 | +6 | 34 |
| 3 | Angel City FC | 18 | +14 | 33 |
| 4 | Kansas City Current | 18 | +14 | 32 |
| 5 | San Diego Wave FC | 17 | +6 | 30 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage | 18 | +7 | 27 |
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