Super League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Super League · next 8
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: 42 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 31 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 45 percent
Market probability, away win: 43 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 25 percent
Market probability, home win: 29 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 51 percent
Market probability, away win: 47 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 55 percent
Market probability, home win: 54 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 29 percent
Market probability, home win: 32 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 42 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 74 percent
Market probability, home win: 71 percent
Our probability, draw: 17 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 9 percent
Market probability, away win: 11 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 26 percent
Market probability, home win: 29 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 47 percent
Market probability, away win: 45 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Super League results
- Oct 18Shanghai Port v Chengdu Rongcheng3-0
- Oct 18Beijing Guoan v Qingdao West Coast1-0
- Oct 18Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua1-3
- Oct 17Shandong Taishan v Zhejiang5-0
- Oct 17Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC1-1
- Oct 17Qingdao Hainiu v Liaoning Tieren FC0-4
- Oct 17Dalian Yingbo FC v Shenzhen Peng City3-1
- Oct 16Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0-1
- Oct 11Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shandong Taishan1-1
- Oct 11Liaoning Tieren FC v Wuhan Three Towns1-1
- Oct 11Qingdao West Coast v Dalian Yingbo FC0-4
- Oct 10Chengdu Rongcheng v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0-1
- Oct 10Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun7-1
- Oct 9Zhejiang v Shanghai Port2-4
- Oct 9Shenzhen Peng City v Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang2-2
- Oct 9Qingdao Hainiu v Beijing Guoan0-3
- Sep 18Zhejiang v Wuhan Three Towns4-1
- Sep 12Wuhan Three Towns v Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang1-1
- Sep 12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger v Liaoning Tieren FC1-0
- Sep 6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger v Zhejiang2-1
- Sep 6Yunnan Yukun v Liaoning Tieren FC5-0
- Sep 6Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang v Chengdu Rongcheng0-0
- Sep 6Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai Shenhua1-3
- Sep 5Shandong Taishan v Shenzhen Peng City1-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
8
Spots
0
Graded here
69
last 90 days
Called right
48%
of 69
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Super League
Favourite won
47%
Drawn
27%
Underdog won
26%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 199 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | +17 | 52 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | +17 | 50 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | +20 | 49 |
| 4 | Shanghai Port | 29 | +13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 29 | +7 | 44 |
Read next