Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · next 12
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 34 percent
Market probability, home win: 36 percent
Our probability, draw: 35 percent
Market probability, draw: 32 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 54 percent
Market probability, home win: 53 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 20 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 44 percent
Our probability, draw: 34 percent
Market probability, draw: 31 percent
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: 25 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 24 percent
Market probability, home win: 28 percent
Our probability, draw: 34 percent
Market probability, draw: 31 percent
Our probability, away win: 42 percent
Market probability, away win: 41 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 25 percent
Market probability, away win: 26 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 34 percent
Market probability, home win: 37 percent
Our probability, draw: 36 percent
Market probability, draw: 33 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 61 percent
Market probability, home win: 59 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 20 percent
Market probability, home win: 25 percent
Our probability, draw: 33 percent
Market probability, draw: 30 percent
Our probability, away win: 47 percent
Market probability, away win: 45 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 21 percent
Market probability, home win: 25 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 30 percent
Our probability, away win: 47 percent
Market probability, away win: 45 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 67 percent
Market probability, home win: 64 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 11 percent
Market probability, away win: 13 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 38 percent
Market probability, away win: 38 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 59 percent
Market probability, home win: 58 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Liga Profesional de Fútbol results
- Oct 19Sarmiento v Barracas Central1-1
- Oct 19Newell's Old Boys v Central Córdoba2-1
- Oct 18Belgrano v River Plate0-3
- Oct 18Estudiantes de La Plata v San Lorenzo1-2
- Oct 18Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Aldosivi2-1
- Oct 18Deportivo Riestra v Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe1-1
- Oct 18Racing Club v CA Independiente1-1
- Oct 17Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza1-0
- Oct 17Atlético Tucumán v Rosario Central2-3
- Oct 17Independiente Rivadavia v Tigre2-2
- Oct 17Platense v Lanús0-1
- Oct 17Banfield v Argentinos Juniors0-1
- Oct 17Boca Juniors v Talleres2-1
- Oct 16Defensa y Justicia v Instituto De Córdoba0-1
- Oct 15Huracán v Gimnasia y Esgrima1-2
- Oct 14Sarmiento v River Plate1-1
- Oct 12Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza v Newell's Old Boys1-0
- Oct 12Lanús v Vélez Sarsfield2-0
- Oct 12Talleres v CA Independiente0-0
- Oct 11Racing Club v Belgrano0-2
- Oct 11Rosario Central v Independiente Rivadavia5-0
- Oct 11Platense v Argentinos Juniors1-1
- Oct 11San Lorenzo v Deportivo Riestra1-0
- Oct 11River Plate v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
12
Spots
3
Graded here
175
last 90 days
Called right
43%
of 175
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Favourite won
43%
Drawn
32%
Underdog won
25%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 438 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto De Córdoba | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 13 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Vélez Sarsfield | 13 | +5 | 24 |
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