USL League One. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
USL League One · next 10
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 56 percent
Market probability, home win: 49 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 26 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 29 percent
Market probability, home win: 30 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 46 percent
Market probability, away win: 44 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 26 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 54 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 49 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 34 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 40 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 27 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent USL League One results
- Oct 18AC Boise v AV Alta FC2-1
- Oct 18Spokane Velocity FC v Chattanooga Red Wolves SC1-0
- Oct 17Fort Wayne FC v Sarasota Paradise1-3
- Oct 17Greenville Triumph SC v Charlotte Independence0-3
- Oct 17Westchester SC v Union Omaha SC2-1
- Oct 17Forward Madison FC v Portland Hearts of Pine2-0
- Oct 17Richmond Kickers v Corpus Christi FC5-1
- Oct 17New York Cosmos v One Knoxville SC0-3
- Oct 14Greenville Triumph SC v Spokane Velocity FC4-3
- Oct 11One Knoxville SC v Spokane Velocity FC0-2
- Oct 11AV Alta FC v Greenville Triumph SC2-2
- Oct 11Corpus Christi FC v FC Naples0-1
- Oct 10Sarasota Paradise v Richmond Kickers3-2
- Oct 10Westchester SC v Forward Madison FC3-2
- Oct 10Charlotte Independence v New York Cosmos3-0
- Oct 10Portland Hearts of Pine v AC Boise1-2
- Oct 10Union Omaha SC v Fort Wayne FC0-1
- Oct 8Corpus Christi FC v Fort Wayne FC1-3
- Oct 7FC Naples v Richmond Kickers2-0
- Oct 7One Knoxville SC v Chattanooga Red Wolves SC3-0
- Oct 4Spokane Velocity FC v Portland Hearts of Pine3-3
- Oct 3Sarasota Paradise v Charlotte Independence2-3
- Oct 3Fort Wayne FC v Forward Madison FC0-0
- Oct 3Westchester SC v AV Alta FC2-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
10
Spots
1
Graded here
102
last 90 days
Called right
43%
of 102
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in USL League One
Favourite won
47%
Drawn
24%
Underdog won
30%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 101 matches we priced.
Table · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 23 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Forward Madison FC | 24 | +25 | 45 |
| 3 | AC Boise | 22 | +4 | 41 |
| 4 | Chattanooga Red Wolves SC | 26 | +6 | 40 |
| 5 | Union Omaha SC | 21 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 23 | +3 | 37 |
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