PredictionPitch

League Two. The honest number.

Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

League Two · next 20

1

X

2

Price

York City v Accrington Stanley

Likeliest: York City win · 65%

18:45spot · under 2.5

65

63

21

22

14

16

—

Walsall v Oldham Athletic

Likeliest: Walsall win · 39%

18:45

39

41

30

28

31

31

—

Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Town

Likeliest: Shrewsbury Town win · 37%

18:45

33

36

30

28

37

36

—

Bristol Rovers v Salford City

Likeliest: Bristol Rovers win · 37%

18:45

37

39

30

28

33

33

—

Exeter City v Crewe Alexandra

Likeliest: Exeter City win · 36%

18:45

36

38

30

28

35

34

—

Northampton Town v Tranmere Rovers

Likeliest: Northampton Town win · 40%

18:45

40

42

30

28

30

30

—

Cheltenham Town v Fleetwood Town

Likeliest: Fleetwood Town win · 39%

18:45

32

35

29

27

39

38

—

Chesterfield v Colchester United

Likeliest: Chesterfield win · 51%

18:45

51

51

27

26

22

23

—

Rotherham United v Newport County

Likeliest: Rotherham United win · 55%

18:45

55

54

26

25

20

21

—

Rochdale v Grimsby Town

Likeliest: Grimsby Town win · 46%

18:45

25

29

29

27

46

44

—

Barnet v Swindon Town

Likeliest: Barnet win · 58%

18:45

58

56

23

23

19

20

—

Gillingham v Port Vale

Likeliest: Port Vale win · 40%

19:00

29

32

31

29

40

39

—

Cheltenham Town v Newport County

Likeliest: Cheltenham Town win · 35%

11:30

35

37

31

29

34

34

—

Northampton Town v Colchester United

Likeliest: Northampton Town win · 42%

11:30

42

43

31

29

27

28

—

Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town

Likeliest: Bristol Rovers win · 58%

11:30

58

56

25

25

17

19

—

York City v Port Vale

Likeliest: York City win · 50%

14:00

50

49

27

27

23

24

—

Rochdale v Accrington Stanley

Likeliest: Rochdale win · 38%

14:00

38

39

30

28

33

32

—

Chesterfield v Crewe Alexandra

Likeliest: Chesterfield win · 51%

14:00

51

50

27

26

23

24

—

Crawley Town v Tranmere Rovers

Likeliest: Tranmere Rovers win · 43%

14:00

28

31

29

27

43

41

—

Exeter City v Fleetwood Town

Likeliest: Fleetwood Town win · 36%

14:00

33

36

31

29

36

35

—

Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

Recent League Two results

Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

Fixtures priced

20

Spots

1

Graded here

126

last 90 days

Called right

41%

of 126

“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

How the favourite fares in League Two

Favourite won

50%

Drawn

28%

Underdog won

22%

The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 482 matches we priced.

Table · 2026/27

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	+10	21
3	Crewe Alexandra	11	+6	21
4	York City	10	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	+3	16

Read next

What 1X2 actually means Over/under 2.5 goals, explained How we produce these numbers Our record, graded in public