J-League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
J-League · next 20
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 48 percent
Market probability, home win: 48 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 38 percent
Market probability, home win: 40 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 33 percent
Market probability, away win: 33 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 22 percent
Market probability, home win: 26 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 47 percent
Market probability, away win: 45 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 32 percent
Market probability, home win: 35 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 41 percent
Market probability, away win: 39 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 38 percent
Market probability, home win: 40 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 31 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 9 percent
Market probability, home win: 14 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 71 percent
Market probability, away win: 66 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 20 percent
Market probability, home win: 24 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 53 percent
Market probability, away win: 50 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 34 percent
Market probability, home win: 37 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 37 percent
Market probability, away win: 36 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 49 percent
Market probability, home win: 49 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 58 percent
Market probability, home win: 56 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 20 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 63 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 14 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 34 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 37 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 33 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 24 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 25 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 37 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 59 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 50 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 27 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 68 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 50 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 25 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent J-League results
- Oct 18Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka3-0
- Oct 18Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe0-3
- Oct 17Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus1-3
- Oct 17Mito Hollyhock v Urawa Red Diamonds0-1
- Oct 17Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale2-4
- Oct 17Kashima Antlers v V-Varen Nagasaki2-0
- Oct 17Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo0-4
- Oct 17JEF United Chiba v Yokohama F. Marinos0-0
- Oct 17Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga FC3-0
- Oct 17Shimizu S-Pulse v Gamba Osaka2-2
- Oct 11Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus1-2
- Oct 11Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima0-2
- Oct 11Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-Pulse1-2
- Oct 11JEF United Chiba v V-Varen Nagasaki1-1
- Oct 10Kyoto Sanga FC v Machida Zelvia0-1
- Oct 10FC Tokyo v Urawa Red Diamonds3-0
- Oct 10Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama2-1
- Oct 10Cerezo Osaka v Yokohama F. Marinos0-0
- Oct 9Kashima Antlers v Gamba Osaka2-0
- Oct 9Kashiwa Reysol v Vissel Kobe4-2
- Sep 20Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol2-4
- Sep 20Gamba Osaka v Vissel Kobe0-1
- Sep 19Yokohama F. Marinos v Mito Hollyhock2-0
- Sep 19Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga FC1-2
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
20
Spots
2
Graded here
84
last 90 days
Called right
57%
of 84
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in J-League
Favourite won
55%
Drawn
21%
Underdog won
24%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 104 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | +19 | 23 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 10 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 10 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | +5 | 19 |
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