J2 League. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    J2 League · next 20

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Montedio Yamagata v Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Likeliest: Montedio Yamagata win · 40%
    04:00
    Our probability, home win: 40 percent
    Market probability, home win: 42 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 32 percent
    Market probability, away win: 32 percent
    —
    RB Omiya Ardija v Kataller Toyama
    Likeliest: RB Omiya Ardija win · 40%
    10:00spot · under 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 40 percent
    Market probability, home win: 42 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 33 percent
    Market probability, away win: 33 percent
    —
    Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Blaublitz Akita
    Likeliest: Tegevajaro Miyazaki win · 44%
    10:00spot · over 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 44 percent
    Market probability, home win: 45 percent
    Our probability, draw: 31 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 25 percent
    Market probability, away win: 26 percent
    —
    Ventforet Kofu v Yokohama FC
    Likeliest: Yokohama FC win · 56%
    10:00spot · under 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 17 percent
    Market probability, home win: 21 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 56 percent
    Market probability, away win: 52 percent
    —
    Albirex Niigata v Sagan Tosu
    Likeliest: Sagan Tosu win · 39%
    10:00
    Our probability, home win: 29 percent
    Market probability, home win: 33 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 39 percent
    Market probability, away win: 38 percent
    —
    Vegalta Sendai v FC Imabari
    Likeliest: Vegalta Sendai win · 64%
    10:00spot · under 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 64 percent
    Market probability, home win: 61 percent
    Our probability, draw: 21 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 16 percent
    Market probability, away win: 17 percent
    —
    Tokushima Vortis v Vanraure Hachinohe
    Likeliest: Tokushima Vortis win · 49%
    10:00spot · over 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 49 percent
    Market probability, home win: 49 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    Jubilo Iwata v Oita Trinita
    Likeliest: Jubilo Iwata win · 50%
    10:00spot · over 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 50 percent
    Market probability, home win: 51 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 20 percent
    Market probability, away win: 22 percent
    —
    Tochigi City FC v Fujieda MYFC
    Likeliest: Tochigi City FC win · 44%
    10:00
    Our probability, home win: 44 percent
    Market probability, home win: 44 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 30 percent
    Market probability, away win: 30 percent
    —
    Shonan Bellmare v Iwaki FC
    Likeliest: Shonan Bellmare win · 44%
    10:00
    Our probability, home win: 44 percent
    Market probability, home win: 44 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 27 percent
    Market probability, away win: 28 percent
    —
    RB Omiya Ardija v Yokohama FC
    Likeliest: RB Omiya Ardija win · 45%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 30 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Fujieda MYFC v Tokushima Vortis
    Likeliest: Fujieda MYFC win · 45%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 26 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Oita Trinita v Ventforet Kofu
    Likeliest: Oita Trinita win · 64%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 64 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 14 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Sagan Tosu v Vanraure Hachinohe
    Likeliest: Sagan Tosu win · 51%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 51 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Kataller Toyama v Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Likeliest: Kataller Toyama win · 63%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 63 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 14 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Montedio Yamagata v Tegevajaro Miyazaki
    Likeliest: Montedio Yamagata win · 36%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 36 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 34 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Blaublitz Akita v FC Imabari
    Likeliest: Blaublitz Akita win · 49%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 49 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 25 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Albirex Niigata v Vegalta Sendai
    Likeliest: Vegalta Sendai win · 52%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 21 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 52 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Iwaki FC v Jubilo Iwata
    Likeliest: Jubilo Iwata win · 38%
    06:00
    Our probability, home win: 37 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 38 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Shonan Bellmare v Tochigi City FC
    Likeliest: Tochigi City FC win · 41%
    09:00
    Our probability, home win: 34 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 41 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent J2 League results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    20
    Spots
    6
    Graded here
    48
    last 90 days
    Called right
    44%
    of 48

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in J2 League
    Favourite won
    46%
    Drawn
    40%
    Underdog won
    15%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 48 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Vegalta Sendai13+1128
    2Yokohama FC13+926
    3RB Omiya Ardija13+1023
    4Kataller Toyama13+1023
    5Albirex Niigata13023
    6Oita Trinita13+419
    Full table →
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