PredictionPitch

    Every match. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', graded in public. Purple is where we differ.

    Copa Libertadores

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    Flamengo v Estudiantes de La Plata
    Likeliest: Flamengo win · 70% · Likely score: 1–0
    00:30
    Our probability, home win: 70 percent
    Market probability, home win: 67 percent
    Our probability, draw: 20 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 10 percent
    Market probability, away win: 12 percent
    —

    Primera A

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    Atlético Nacional v Deportivo Pasto
    Likeliest: Atlético Nacional win · 66% · Likely score: 1–0
    01:00
    Our probability, home win: 66 percent
    Market probability, home win: 75 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 16 percent
    Our probability, away win: 12 percent
    Market probability, away win: 9 percent
    —
    Boyacá Chicó FC v Atlético Bucaramanga
    Likeliest: Atlético Bucaramanga win · 48% · Likely score: 0–1
    23:00
    Our probability, home win: 21 percent
    Market probability, home win: 25 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 48 percent
    Market probability, away win: 46 percent
    —

    A-League Men

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    Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory
    Likeliest: Brisbane Roar win · 45% · Likely score: 1–0
    09:00
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: 45 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 28 percent
    Market probability, away win: 28 percent
    —

    Premier League

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    Dynamo Kyiv v Kudrivka
    Likeliest: Dynamo Kyiv win · 68% · Likely score: 2–0
    10:00spot · under 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 68 percent
    Market probability, home win: 70 percent
    Our probability, draw: 20 percent
    Market probability, draw: 18 percent
    Our probability, away win: 13 percent
    Market probability, away win: 11 percent
    —
    Veres Rivne v Kolos Kovalivka
    Likeliest: Kolos Kovalivka win · 44% · Likely score: 0–1
    12:30
    Our probability, home win: 24 percent
    Market probability, home win: 28 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 44 percent
    Market probability, away win: 43 percent
    —

    V-League

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    Hoàng Anh Gia Lai v Sông Lam Nghệ An
    Likeliest: Hoàng Anh Gia Lai win · 36% · Likely score: 1–0
    10:00
    Our probability, home win: 36 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Indian Super League

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    Inter Kashi FC v East Bengal FC
    Likeliest: East Bengal FC win · 42%
    11:30spot · home
    Our probability, home win: 29 percent
    Market probability, home win: 13 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 20 percent
    Our probability, away win: 42 percent
    Market probability, away win: 67 percent
    —

    Persian Gulf Pro League

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    Gol Gohar Sirjan v Kheybar Khorramabad FC
    Likeliest: Gol Gohar Sirjan win · 45% · Likely score: 1–0
    12:30
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 31 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 24 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Aluminium Arak v Zob Ahan
    Likeliest: Aluminium Arak win · 44% · Likely score: 1–0
    12:30
    Our probability, home win: 44 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 34 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Chador Malu Yazd v Esteghlal FC
    Likeliest: Esteghlal FC win · 45% · Likely score: 0–1
    13:15
    Our probability, home win: 23 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 45 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Pro League

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    Al-Faisaly v Al-Nassr
    Likeliest: Al-Nassr win · 82% · Likely score: 0–2
    13:30spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 5 percent
    Market probability, home win: 9 percent
    Our probability, draw: 12 percent
    Market probability, draw: 15 percent
    Our probability, away win: 82 percent
    Market probability, away win: 76 percent
    —
    Al-Ittihad v Al-Diraiyah Club
    Likeliest: Al-Ittihad win · 49% · Likely score: 1–0
    15:30
    Our probability, home win: 49 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 25 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Al-Qadsiah v Al-Hilal
    Likeliest: Al-Hilal win · 44% · Likely score: 1–2
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 32 percent
    Market probability, home win: 33 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 44 percent
    Market probability, away win: 42 percent
    —

    Stars League

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    Al Shamal SC v Qatar SC
    Likeliest: Al Shamal SC win · 56% · Likely score: 1–0
    14:30
    Our probability, home win: 56 percent
    Market probability, home win: 55 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    Al-Sailiya v Al-Rayyan
    Likeliest: Al-Rayyan win · 74% · Likely score: 0–2
    16:45spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 9 percent
    Market probability, home win: 14 percent
    Our probability, draw: 16 percent
    Market probability, draw: 18 percent
    Our probability, away win: 74 percent
    Market probability, away win: 68 percent
    —

    Superliga

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    FC Botoșani v FC Petrolul Ploieşti
    Likeliest: FC Botoșani win · 50% · Likely score: 2–1
    15:00
    Our probability, home win: 50 percent
    Market probability, home win: 52 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: 22 percent
    —
    FC Corvinul Hunedoara v FC Universitatea Cluj
    Likeliest: FC Universitatea Cluj win · 40% · Likely score: 0–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 28 percent
    Market probability, home win: 31 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 40 percent
    Market probability, away win: 41 percent
    —

    Danish 1st Division

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    Hobro v Vendsyssel FF
    Likeliest: Hobro win · 38% · Likely score: 2–1
    16:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 38 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 33 percent
    Market probability, away win: 33 percent
    —
    Hvidovre v HB Køge
    Likeliest: Hvidovre win · 48% · Likely score: 2–1
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 48 percent
    Market probability, home win: 48 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 26 percent
    Market probability, away win: 27 percent
    —

    Ekstraklasa

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    Motor Lublin v Zagłębie Lubin
    Likeliest: Motor Lublin win · 45% · Likely score: 1–0
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: 45 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 28 percent
    Market probability, away win: 29 percent
    —
    Widzew Łódź v Górnik Zabrze
    Likeliest: Górnik Zabrze win · 36% · Likely score: 0–1
    18:30
    Our probability, home win: 35 percent
    Market probability, home win: 37 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —

    First League

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    FC CSKA 1948 Sofia v Botev Plovdiv
    Likeliest: FC CSKA 1948 Sofia win · 44% · Likely score: 1–0
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 44 percent
    Market probability, home win: 45 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 27 percent
    Market probability, away win: 28 percent
    —

    FNL

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    Dukla Praha v SK Kladno
    Likeliest: Dukla Praha win · 37% · Likely score: 2–1
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 37 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Superliga

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    FK Radnički 1923 v FK Radnik Surdulica
    Likeliest: FK Radnički 1923 win · 56% · Likely score: 2–1
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 56 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    FK Radnički Niš v FK Novi Pazar
    Likeliest: FK Radnički Niš win · 35% · Likely score: 1–0
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 35 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 35 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    FK Zemun v FK Mačva Šabac
    Likeliest: FK Mačva Šabac win · 42% · Likely score: 0–1
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 30 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 42 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    FK IMT Beograd v FK Železničar Pančevo
    Likeliest: FK IMT Beograd win · 50% · Likely score: 1–0
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 50 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    2. Bundesliga

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    VfL Bochum 1848 v VfL Wolfsburg
    Likeliest: VfL Wolfsburg win · 44% · Likely score: 1–2
    16:30
    Our probability, home win: 30 percent
    Market probability, home win: 32 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 44 percent
    Market probability, away win: 42 percent
    —
    Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli
    Likeliest: FC St. Pauli win · 45% · Likely score: 0–1
    16:30
    Our probability, home win: 30 percent
    Market probability, home win: 33 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 45 percent
    Market probability, away win: 43 percent
    —

    2. Liga

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    Kapfenberger SV v SKN St. Pölten
    Likeliest: SKN St. Pölten win · 58% · Likely score: 0–1
    16:30
    Our probability, home win: 17 percent
    Market probability, home win: 22 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 58 percent
    Market probability, away win: 54 percent
    —
    First Vienna v Floridsdorfer AC
    Likeliest: First Vienna win · 53% · Likely score: 2–1
    16:30spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 53 percent
    Market probability, home win: 52 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —

    1. Lig

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    Boluspor v Van Spor Futbol Kulübü
    Likeliest: Van Spor Futbol Kulübü win · 57% · Likely score: 1–2
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 18 percent
    Market probability, home win: 22 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 57 percent
    Market probability, away win: 53 percent
    —

    3. Liga

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    Rot-Weiss Essen v SSV Jahn Regensburg
    Likeliest: Rot-Weiss Essen win · 60% · Likely score: 2–1
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 60 percent
    Market probability, home win: 57 percent
    Our probability, draw: 21 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 20 percent
    Market probability, away win: 21 percent
    —

    3rd Division, Group 4

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    Varhaug v Haugesund II
    Likeliest: Varhaug win · 52%
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 52 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Allsvenskan

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    Västerås SK v Halmstads BK
    Likeliest: Västerås SK win · 57% · Likely score: 2–1
    17:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 57 percent
    Market probability, home win: 55 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 20 percent
    Market probability, away win: 22 percent
    —
    IF Elfsborg v Malmö FF
    Likeliest: IF Elfsborg win · 40% · Likely score: 2–1
    17:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 40 percent
    Market probability, home win: 43 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 31 percent
    Market probability, away win: 30 percent
    —

    Super Lig

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    Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor
    Likeliest: Alanyaspor win · 46% · Likely score: 1–0
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 46 percent
    Market probability, home win: 47 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 30 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 24 percent
    —

    Superettan

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    IK Oddevold v GIF Sundsvall
    Likeliest: IK Oddevold win · 68% · Likely score: 2–1
    17:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 68 percent
    Market probability, home win: 65 percent
    Our probability, draw: 20 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 13 percent
    Market probability, away win: 15 percent
    —

    Austrian Bundesliga

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    SC Rheindorf Altach v Austria Wien
    Likeliest: SC Rheindorf Altach win · 36% · Likely score: 1–0
    17:30
    Our probability, home win: 36 percent
    Market probability, home win: 38 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 34 percent
    Market probability, away win: 34 percent
    —

    Challenge League

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    FC Wil 1900 v FC Rapperswil-Jona
    Likeliest: FC Wil 1900 win · 41% · Likely score: 2–0
    17:30spot · under 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 41 percent
    Market probability, home win: 44 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 34 percent
    Market probability, away win: 32 percent
    —
    FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy v Neuchâtel Xamax
    Likeliest: FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy win · 57% · Likely score: 2–0
    17:30spot · under 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 57 percent
    Market probability, home win: 59 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 21 percent
    Market probability, away win: 19 percent
    —
    FC Winterthur v Stade Nyonnais
    Likeliest: FC Winterthur win · 79% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:15spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 79 percent
    Market probability, home win: 78 percent
    Our probability, draw: 11 percent
    Market probability, draw: 14 percent
    Our probability, away win: 10 percent
    Market probability, away win: 8 percent
    —

    Liga Portugal 2

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    Chaves v Vizela
    Likeliest: Vizela win · 36% · Likely score: 0–1
    17:45
    Our probability, home win: 33 percent
    Market probability, home win: 36 percent
    Our probability, draw: 31 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —

    Challenger Pro League

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    RSCA Futures U23 v Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring
    Likeliest: Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring win · 39% · Likely score: 1–2
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 35 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 39 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Eerste Divisie

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    TOP Oss v Jong Ajax
    Likeliest: TOP Oss win · 41% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 41 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 34 percent
    Market probability, away win: 34 percent
    —
    Vitesse v FC Emmen
    Likeliest: Vitesse win · 37% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 37 percent
    Market probability, home win: 39 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: 36 percent
    —
    De Graafschap v RKC Waalwijk
    Likeliest: De Graafschap win · 38% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 38 percent
    Market probability, home win: 40 percent
    Our probability, draw: 24 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 38 percent
    Market probability, away win: 37 percent
    —
    FC Den Bosch v MVV Maastricht
    Likeliest: FC Den Bosch win · 55% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 55 percent
    Market probability, home win: 53 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: 25 percent
    —
    Almere City FC v Roda JC Kerkrade
    Likeliest: Almere City FC win · 51% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 51 percent
    Market probability, home win: 50 percent
    Our probability, draw: 24 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 25 percent
    Market probability, away win: 26 percent
    —
    FC Eindhoven v Jong PSV Eindhoven
    Likeliest: FC Eindhoven win · 43% · Likely score: 1–0
    18:00spot · under 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 43 percent
    Market probability, home win: 43 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 33 percent
    Market probability, away win: 32 percent
    —
    Jong AZ Alkmaar v Helmond Sport
    Likeliest: Jong AZ Alkmaar win · 60% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 60 percent
    Market probability, home win: 57 percent
    Our probability, draw: 20 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 20 percent
    Market probability, away win: 22 percent
    —
    NAC Breda v Heracles Almelo
    Likeliest: NAC Breda win · 40% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 40 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 33 percent
    Market probability, away win: 33 percent
    —
    FC Volendam v Jong FC Utrecht Youth
    Likeliest: FC Volendam win · 63% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 63 percent
    Market probability, home win: 60 percent
    Our probability, draw: 19 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 18 percent
    Market probability, away win: 19 percent
    —

    Eredivisie

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    Go Ahead Eagles v SC Telstar
    Likeliest: Go Ahead Eagles win · 65% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 65 percent
    Market probability, home win: 62 percent
    Our probability, draw: 20 percent
    Market probability, draw: 20 percent
    Our probability, away win: 16 percent
    Market probability, away win: 18 percent
    —

    Liga 1

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    Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca v Melgar
    Likeliest: Melgar win · 58% · Likely score: 1–2
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 16 percent
    Market probability, home win: 21 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 58 percent
    Market probability, away win: 54 percent
    —
    Club Atlético Grau v Asociación Deportiva Tarma
    Likeliest: Club Atlético Grau win · 54% · Likely score: 2–1
    20:15spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 54 percent
    Market probability, home win: 52 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 21 percent
    Market probability, away win: 22 percent
    —

    Ligue 2

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    Sochaux v Annecy FC
    Likeliest: Sochaux win · 38% · Likely score: 1–0
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 38 percent
    Market probability, home win: 40 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 30 percent
    Market probability, away win: 31 percent
    —
    USL Dunkerque v Metz
    Likeliest: Metz win · 41% · Likely score: 1–2
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 32 percent
    Market probability, home win: 34 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 41 percent
    Market probability, away win: 40 percent
    —
    Nancy v Stade Lavallois
    Likeliest: Nancy win · 53% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 53 percent
    Market probability, home win: 55 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 21 percent
    Market probability, away win: 20 percent
    —
    Pau FC v Grenoble Foot 38
    Likeliest: Pau FC win · 53% · Likely score: 1–0
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 53 percent
    Market probability, home win: 53 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 19 percent
    Market probability, away win: 21 percent
    —

    La Liga 2

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    Granada v Real Valladolid
    Likeliest: Granada win · 45% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:30spot · over 2.5
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: 45 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 26 percent
    Market probability, away win: 27 percent
    —

    National League

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    Gateshead v Tamworth
    Likeliest: Tamworth win · 57% · Likely score: 1–2
    18:45
    Our probability, home win: 20 percent
    Market probability, home win: 24 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 57 percent
    Market probability, away win: 53 percent
    —

    Premier Division

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    Derry City v Dundalk FC
    Likeliest: Derry City win · 52% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:45
    Our probability, home win: 52 percent
    Market probability, home win: 51 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: 25 percent
    —
    Waterford FC v Drogheda United
    Likeliest: Waterford FC win · 52% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:45
    Our probability, home win: 52 percent
    Market probability, home win: 51 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 24 percent
    Market probability, away win: 25 percent
    —
    Galway United v St. Patrick's Athletic
    Likeliest: St. Patrick's Athletic win · 64% · Likely score: 0–1
    18:45spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 14 percent
    Market probability, home win: 18 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 64 percent
    Market probability, away win: 59 percent
    —
    Bohemian FC v Shelbourne
    Likeliest: Bohemian FC win · 60% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:45
    Our probability, home win: 60 percent
    Market probability, home win: 58 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 17 percent
    Market probability, away win: 19 percent
    —
    Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers
    Likeliest: Shamrock Rovers win · 81% · Likely score: 2–0
    19:00
    Our probability, home win: 81 percent
    Market probability, home win: 78 percent
    Our probability, draw: 12 percent
    Market probability, draw: 14 percent
    Our probability, away win: 6 percent
    Market probability, away win: 8 percent
    —

    Pro League

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    KV Kortrijk v KV Mechelen
    Likeliest: KV Kortrijk win · 38% · Likely score: 2–1
    18:45
    Our probability, home win: 38 percent
    Market probability, home win: 39 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 37 percent
    Market probability, away win: 34 percent
    —

    Serie A

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    Torino v Monza
    Likeliest: Torino win · 44% · Likely score: 1–0
    18:45
    Our probability, home win: 44 percent
    Market probability, home win: 44 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 27 percent
    Market probability, away win: 28 percent
    —

    Championship

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    Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough
    Likeliest: Middlesbrough win · 61% · Likely score: 1–2
    19:00
    Our probability, home win: 16 percent
    Market probability, home win: 20 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 61 percent
    Market probability, away win: 58 percent
    —

    La Liga

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    Deportivo Alavés v Málaga
    Likeliest: Deportivo Alavés win · 52% · Likely score: 1–0
    19:00
    Our probability, home win: 52 percent
    Market probability, home win: 52 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 20 percent
    Market probability, away win: 22 percent
    —

    Premier League

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    Ipswich Town v Nottingham Forest
    Likeliest: Nottingham Forest win · 44% · Likely score: 1–2
    19:00
    Our probability, home win: 28 percent
    Market probability, home win: 31 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 44 percent
    Market probability, away win: 42 percent
    —

    Liga Portugal

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    Vitória SC v Marítimo
    Likeliest: Vitória SC win · 64% · Likely score: 1–0
    19:45
    Our probability, home win: 64 percent
    Market probability, home win: 62 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 14 percent
    Market probability, away win: 16 percent
    —

    LigaPro Serie A

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    Independiente del Valle v Universidad Católica del Ecuador
    Likeliest: Independiente del Valle win · 58% · Likely score: 2–1
    20:30
    Our probability, home win: 58 percent
    Market probability, home win: 55 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 19 percent
    Market probability, away win: 21 percent
    —

    Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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    Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza v Platense
    Likeliest: draw · 35% · Likely score: 1–1
    21:30
    Our probability, home win: 34 percent
    Market probability, home win: 36 percent
    Our probability, draw: 35 percent
    Market probability, draw: 32 percent
    Our probability, away win: 32 percent
    Market probability, away win: 32 percent
    —
    Gimnasia y Esgrima v Sarmiento
    Likeliest: Gimnasia y Esgrima win · 54% · Likely score: 2–1
    22:00
    Our probability, home win: 54 percent
    Market probability, home win: 53 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 18 percent
    Market probability, away win: 20 percent
    —

    Serie B

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    Operário-PR v Athletic Club
    Likeliest: Operário-PR win · 51% · Likely score: 1–0
    22:30
    Our probability, home win: 51 percent
    Market probability, home win: 50 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 21 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —

    Primera División

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    Audax Italiano v Huachipato
    Likeliest: Audax Italiano win · 46% · Likely score: 1–0
    23:00
    Our probability, home win: 46 percent
    Market probability, home win: 46 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 27 percent
    Market probability, away win: 27 percent
    —

    Primera Division

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    Defensor Sporting v Racing de Montevideo
    Likeliest: Racing de Montevideo win · 35% · Likely score: 0–1
    23:00
    Our probability, home win: 32 percent
    Market probability, home win: 36 percent
    Our probability, draw: 33 percent
    Market probability, draw: 30 percent
    Our probability, away win: 35 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —

    Serie A

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    Cruzeiro v Remo
    Likeliest: Cruzeiro win · 75% · Likely score: 1–0
    23:00
    Our probability, home win: 75 percent
    Market probability, home win: 71 percent
    Our probability, draw: 17 percent
    Market probability, draw: 18 percent
    Our probability, away win: 9 percent
    Market probability, away win: 11 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market — bookmakers' prices with the margin removed. Purple is a gap of 4 points or more, and a purple edge marks a spot: an outcome we are longer on than the market, in any of the markets we publish. The price is the best one in our data for that outcome; it links to a partner in your country. Switch to Goals for over/under 2.5 and both teams to score.

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